TY - JOUR AB - How likely is it that a population escapes extinction through adaptive evolution? The answer to this question is of great relevance in conservation biology, where we aim at species’ rescue and the maintenance of biodiversity, and in agriculture and medicine, where we seek to hamper the emergence of pesticide or drug resistance. By reshuffling the genome, recombination has two antagonistic effects on the probability of evolutionary rescue: It generates and it breaks up favorable gene combinations. Which of the two effects prevails depends on the fitness effects of mutations and on the impact of stochasticity on the allele frequencies. In this article, we analyze a mathematical model for rescue after a sudden environmental change when adaptation is contingent on mutations at two loci. The analysis reveals a complex nonlinear dependence of population survival on recombination. We moreover find that, counterintuitively, a fast eradication of the wild type can promote rescue in the presence of recombination. The model also shows that two-step rescue is not unlikely to happen and can even be more likely than single-step rescue (where adaptation relies on a single mutation), depending on the circumstances. AU - Uecker, Hildegard AU - Hermisson, Joachim ID - 1241 IS - 2 JF - Genetics TI - The role of recombination in evolutionary rescue VL - 202 ER - TY - CONF AB - Crossing fitness valleys is one of the major obstacles to function optimization. In this paper we investigate how the structure of the fitness valley, namely its depth d and length ℓ, influence the runtime of different strategies for crossing these valleys. We present a runtime comparison between the (1+1) EA and two non-elitist nature-inspired algorithms, Strong Selection Weak Mutation (SSWM) and the Metropolis algorithm. While the (1+1) EA has to jump across the valley to a point of higher fitness because it does not accept decreasing moves, the non-elitist algorithms may cross the valley by accepting worsening moves. We show that while the runtime of the (1+1) EA algorithm depends critically on the length of the valley, the runtimes of the non-elitist algorithms depend crucially only on the depth of the valley. In particular, the expected runtime of both SSWM and Metropolis is polynomial in ℓ and exponential in d while the (1+1) EA is efficient only for valleys of small length. Moreover, we show that both SSWM and Metropolis can also efficiently optimize a rugged function consisting of consecutive valleys. AU - Oliveto, Pietro AU - Paixao, Tiago AU - Heredia, Jorge AU - Sudholt, Dirk AU - Trubenova, Barbora ID - 1349 T2 - Proceedings of the Genetic and Evolutionary Computation Conference 2016 TI - When non-elitism outperforms elitism for crossing fitness valleys ER - TY - JOUR AB - The role of gene interactions in the evolutionary process has long been controversial. Although some argue that they are not of importance, because most variation is additive, others claim that their effect in the long term can be substantial. Here, we focus on the long-term effects of genetic interactions under directional selection assuming no mutation or dominance, and that epistasis is symmetrical overall. We ask by how much the mean of a complex trait can be increased by selection and analyze two extreme regimes, in which either drift or selection dominate the dynamics of allele frequencies. In both scenarios, epistatic interactions affect the long-term response to selection by modulating the additive genetic variance. When drift dominates, we extend Robertson ’ s [Robertson A (1960) Proc R Soc Lond B Biol Sci 153(951):234 − 249] argument to show that, for any form of epistasis, the total response of a haploid population is proportional to the initial total genotypic variance. In contrast, the total response of a diploid population is increased by epistasis, for a given initial genotypic variance. When selection dominates, we show that the total selection response can only be increased by epistasis when s ome initially deleterious alleles become favored as the genetic background changes. We find a sim- ple approximation for this effect and show that, in this regime, it is the structure of the genotype - phenotype map that matters and not the variance components of the population. AU - Paixao, Tiago AU - Barton, Nicholas H ID - 1359 IS - 16 JF - PNAS TI - The effect of gene interactions on the long-term response to selection VL - 113 ER - TY - JOUR AU - Barton, Nicholas H ID - 1356 IS - 1 JF - Genetics TI - Sewall Wright on evolution in Mendelian populations and the “Shifting Balance” VL - 202 ER - TY - JOUR AU - Barton, Nicholas H ID - 1357 IS - 3 JF - Genetics TI - Richard Hudson and Norman Kaplan on the coalescent process VL - 202 ER - TY - JOUR AU - Abbott, Richard AU - Barton, Nicholas H AU - Good, Jeffrey ID - 1409 IS - 11 JF - Molecular Ecology TI - Genomics of hybridization and its evolutionary consequences VL - 25 ER - TY - JOUR AB - Selection, mutation, and random drift affect the dynamics of allele frequencies and consequently of quantitative traits. While the macroscopic dynamics of quantitative traits can be measured, the underlying allele frequencies are typically unobserved. Can we understand how the macroscopic observables evolve without following these microscopic processes? This problem has been studied previously by analogy with statistical mechanics: the allele frequency distribution at each time point is approximated by the stationary form, which maximizes entropy. We explore the limitations of this method when mutation is small (4Nμ < 1) so that populations are typically close to fixation, and we extend the theory in this regime to account for changes in mutation strength. We consider a single diallelic locus either under directional selection or with overdominance and then generalize to multiple unlinked biallelic loci with unequal effects. We find that the maximum-entropy approximation is remarkably accurate, even when mutation and selection change rapidly. AU - Bod'ová, Katarína AU - Tkacik, Gasper AU - Barton, Nicholas H ID - 1420 IS - 4 JF - Genetics TI - A general approximation for the dynamics of quantitative traits VL - 202 ER - TY - JOUR AB - The inference of demographic history from genome data is hindered by a lack of efficient computational approaches. In particular, it has proved difficult to exploit the information contained in the distribution of genealogies across the genome. We have previously shown that the generating function (GF) of genealogies can be used to analytically compute likelihoods of demographic models from configurations of mutations in short sequence blocks (Lohse et al. 2011). Although the GF has a simple, recursive form, the size of such likelihood calculations explodes quickly with the number of individuals and applications of this framework have so far been mainly limited to small samples (pairs and triplets) for which the GF can be written by hand. Here we investigate several strategies for exploiting the inherent symmetries of the coalescent. In particular, we show that the GF of genealogies can be decomposed into a set of equivalence classes that allows likelihood calculations from nontrivial samples. Using this strategy, we automated blockwise likelihood calculations for a general set of demographic scenarios in Mathematica. These histories may involve population size changes, continuous migration, discrete divergence, and admixture between multiple populations. To give a concrete example, we calculate the likelihood for a model of isolation with migration (IM), assuming two diploid samples without phase and outgroup information. We demonstrate the new inference scheme with an analysis of two individual butterfly genomes from the sister species Heliconius melpomene rosina and H. cydno. AU - Lohse, Konrad AU - Chmelik, Martin AU - Martin, Simon AU - Barton, Nicholas H ID - 1518 IS - 2 JF - Genetics TI - Efficient strategies for calculating blockwise likelihoods under the coalescent VL - 202 ER - TY - JOUR AB - Ancestral processes are fundamental to modern population genetics and spatial structure has been the subject of intense interest for many years. Despite this interest, almost nothing is known about the distribution of the locations of pedigree or genetic ancestors. Using both spatially continuous and stepping-stone models, we show that the distribution of pedigree ancestors approaches a travelling wave, for which we develop two alternative approximations. The speed and width of the wave are sensitive to the local details of the model. After a short time, genetic ancestors spread far more slowly than pedigree ancestors, ultimately diffusing out with radius ## rather than spreading at constant speed. In contrast to the wave of pedigree ancestors, the spread of genetic ancestry is insensitive to the local details of the models. AU - Kelleher, Jerome AU - Etheridge, Alison AU - Véber, Amandine AU - Barton, Nicholas H ID - 1631 JF - Theoretical Population Biology TI - Spread of pedigree versus genetic ancestry in spatially distributed populations VL - 108 ER - TY - JOUR AB - Speciation results from the progressive accumulation of mutations that decrease the probability of mating between parental populations or reduce the fitness of hybrids—the so-called species barriers. The speciation genomic literature, however, is mainly a collection of case studies, each with its own approach and specificities, such that a global view of the gradual process of evolution from one to two species is currently lacking. Of primary importance is the prevalence of gene flow between diverging entities, which is central in most species concepts and has been widely discussed in recent years. Here, we explore the continuum of speciation thanks to a comparative analysis of genomic data from 61 pairs of populations/species of animals with variable levels of divergence. Gene flow between diverging gene pools is assessed under an approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) framework. We show that the intermediate "grey zone" of speciation, in which taxonomy is often controversial, spans from 0.5% to 2% of net synonymous divergence, irrespective of species life history traits or ecology. Thanks to appropriate modeling of among-locus variation in genetic drift and introgression rate, we clarify the status of the majority of ambiguous cases and uncover a number of cryptic species. Our analysis also reveals the high incidence in animals of semi-isolated species (when some but not all loci are affected by barriers to gene flow) and highlights the intrinsic difficulty, both statistical and conceptual, of delineating species in the grey zone of speciation. AU - Roux, Camille AU - Fraisse, Christelle AU - Romiguier, Jonathan AU - Anciaux, Youann AU - Galtier, Nicolas AU - Bierne, Nicolas ID - 1158 IS - 12 JF - PLoS Biology TI - Shedding light on the grey zone of speciation along a continuum of genomic divergence VL - 14 ER - TY - GEN AU - Roux, Camille AU - Fraisse, Christelle AU - Romiguier, Jonathan AU - Anciaux, Youann AU - Galtier, Nicolas AU - Bierne, Nicolas ID - 9862 TI - Simulation study to test the robustness of ABC in face of recent times of divergence ER - TY - GEN AU - Roux, Camille AU - Fraisse, Christelle AU - Romiguier, Jonathan AU - Anciaux, Youann AU - Galtier, Nicolas AU - Bierne, Nicolas ID - 9863 TI - Accessions of surveyed individuals, geographic locations and summary statistics ER - TY - THES AB - Natural environments are never constant but subject to spatial and temporal change on all scales, increasingly so due to human activity. Hence, it is crucial to understand the impact of environmental variation on evolutionary processes. In this thesis, I present three topics that share the common theme of environmental variation, yet illustrate its effect from different perspectives. First, I show how a temporally fluctuating environment gives rise to second-order selection on a modifier for stress-induced mutagenesis. Without fluctuations, when populations are adapted to their environment, mutation rates are minimized. I argue that a stress-induced mutator mechanism may only be maintained if the population is repeatedly subjected to diverse environmental challenges, and I outline implications of the presented results to antibiotic treatment strategies. Second, I discuss my work on the evolution of dispersal. Besides reproducing known results about the effect of heterogeneous habitats on dispersal, it identifies spatial changes in dispersal type frequencies as a source for selection for increased propensities to disperse. This concept contains effects of relatedness that are known to promote dispersal, and I explain how it identifies other forces selecting for dispersal and puts them on a common scale. Third, I analyse genetic variances of phenotypic traits under multivariate stabilizing selection. For the case of constant environments, I generalize known formulae of equilibrium variances to multiple traits and discuss how the genetic variance of a focal trait is influenced by selection on background traits. I conclude by presenting ideas and preliminary work aiming at including environmental fluctuations in the form of moving trait optima into the model. AU - Novak, Sebastian ID - 1125 SN - 2663-337X TI - Evolutionary proccesses in variable emvironments ER - TY - JOUR AB - Gene regulation relies on the specificity of transcription factor (TF)–DNA interactions. Limited specificity may lead to crosstalk: a regulatory state in which a gene is either incorrectly activated due to noncognate TF–DNA interactions or remains erroneously inactive. As each TF can have numerous interactions with noncognate cis-regulatory elements, crosstalk is inherently a global problem, yet has previously not been studied as such. We construct a theoretical framework to analyse the effects of global crosstalk on gene regulation. We find that crosstalk presents a significant challenge for organisms with low-specificity TFs, such as metazoans. Crosstalk is not easily mitigated by known regulatory schemes acting at equilibrium, including variants of cooperativity and combinatorial regulation. Our results suggest that crosstalk imposes a previously unexplored global constraint on the functioning and evolution of regulatory networks, which is qualitatively distinct from the known constraints that act at the level of individual gene regulatory elements. AU - Friedlander, Tamar AU - Prizak, Roshan AU - Guet, Calin C AU - Barton, Nicholas H AU - Tkacik, Gasper ID - 1358 JF - Nature Communications TI - Intrinsic limits to gene regulation by global crosstalk VL - 7 ER - TY - GEN AB - Much of quantitative genetics is based on the ‘infinitesimal model’, under which selection has a negligible effect on the genetic variance. This is typically justified by assuming a very large number of loci with additive effects. However, it applies even when genes interact, provided that the number of loci is large enough that selection on each of them is weak relative to random drift. In the long term, directional selection will change allele frequencies, but even then, the effects of epistasis on the ultimate change in trait mean due to selection may be modest. Stabilising selection can maintain many traits close to their optima, even when the underlying alleles are weakly selected. However, the number of traits that can be optimised is apparently limited to ~4Ne by the ‘drift load’, and this is hard to reconcile with the apparent complexity of many organisms. Just as for the mutation load, this limit can be evaded by a particular form of negative epistasis. A more robust limit is set by the variance in reproductive success. This suggests that selection accumulates information most efficiently in the infinitesimal regime, when selection on individual alleles is weak, and comparable with random drift. A review of evidence on selection strength suggests that although most variance in fitness may be because of alleles with large Nes, substantial amounts of adaptation may be because of alleles in the infinitesimal regime, in which epistasis has modest effects. AU - Barton, Nicholas H ID - 9710 TI - Data from: How does epistasis influence the response to selection? ER - TY - GEN AB - Viral capsids are structurally constrained by interactions among the amino acids (AAs) of their constituent proteins. Therefore, epistasis is expected to evolve among physically interacting sites and to influence the rates of substitution. To study the evolution of epistasis, we focused on the major structural protein of the ϕX174 phage family by, first, reconstructing the ancestral protein sequences of 18 species using a Bayesian statistical framework. The inferred ancestral reconstruction differed at eight AAs, for a total of 256 possible ancestral haplotypes. For each ancestral haplotype and the extant species, we estimated, in silico, the distribution of free energies and epistasis of the capsid structure. We found that free energy has not significantly increased but epistasis has. We decomposed epistasis up to fifth order and found that higher-order epistasis sometimes compensates pairwise interactions making the free energy seem additive. The dN/dS ratio is low, suggesting strong purifying selection, and that structure is under stabilizing selection. We synthesized phages carrying ancestral haplotypes of the coat protein gene and measured their fitness experimentally. Our findings indicate that stabilizing mutations can have higher fitness, and that fitness optima do not necessarily coincide with energy minima. AU - Fernandes Redondo, Rodrigo A AU - de Vladar, Harold AU - Włodarski, Tomasz AU - Bollback, Jonathan P ID - 9864 TI - Data from evolutionary interplay between structure, energy and epistasis in the coat protein of the ϕX174 phage family ER - TY - JOUR AB - Background and aims Angiosperms display remarkable diversity in flower colour, implying that transitions between pigmentation phenotypes must have been common. Despite progress in understanding transitions between anthocyanin (blue, purple, pink or red) and unpigmented (white) flowers, little is known about the evolutionary patterns of flower-colour transitions in lineages with both yellow and anthocyanin-pigmented flowers. This study investigates the relative rates of evolutionary transitions between different combinations of yellow- and anthocyanin-pigmentation phenotypes in the tribe Antirrhineae. Methods We surveyed taxonomic literature for data on anthocyanin and yellow floral pigmentation for 369 species across the tribe. We then reconstructed the phylogeny of 169 taxa and used phylogenetic comparative methods to estimate transition rates among pigmentation phenotypes across the phylogeny. Key Results In contrast to previous studies we found a bias towards transitions involving a gain in pigmentation, although transitions to phenotypes with both anthocyanin and yellow taxa are nevertheless extremely rare. Despite the dominance of yellow and anthocyanin-pigmented taxa, transitions between these phenotypes are constrained to move through a white intermediate stage, whereas transitions to double-pigmentation are very rare. The most abundant transitions are between anthocyanin-pigmented and unpigmented flowers, and similarly the most abundant polymorphic taxa were those with anthocyanin-pigmented and unpigmented flowers. Conclusions Our findings show that pigment evolution is limited by the presence of other floral pigments. This interaction between anthocyanin and yellow pigments constrains the breadth of potential floral diversity observed in nature. In particular, they suggest that selection has repeatedly acted to promote the spread of single-pigmented phenotypes across the Antirrhineae phylogeny. Furthermore, the correlation between transition rates and polymorphism suggests that the forces causing and maintaining variance in the short term reflect evolutionary processes on longer time scales. AU - Ellis, Thomas AU - Field, David ID - 1382 IS - 7 JF - Annals of Botany TI - Repeated gains in yellow and anthocyanin pigmentation in flower colour transitions in the Antirrhineae VL - 117 ER - TY - THES AB - Hybrid zones represent evolutionary laboratories, where recombination brings together alleles in combinations which have not previously been tested by selection. This provides an excellent opportunity to test the effect of molecular variation on fitness, and how this variation is able to spread through populations in a natural context. The snapdragon Antirrhinum majus is polymorphic in the wild for two loci controlling the distribution of yellow and magenta floral pigments. Where the yellow A. m. striatum and the magenta A. m. pseudomajus meet along a valley in the Spanish Pyrenees they form a stable hybrid zone Alleles at these loci recombine to give striking transgressive variation for flower colour. The sharp transition in phenotype over ~1km implies strong selection maintaining the hybrid zone. An indirect assay of pollinator visitation in the field found that pollinators forage in a positive-frequency dependent manner on Antirrhinum, matching previous data on fruit set. Experimental arrays and paternity analysis of wild-pollinated seeds demonstrated assortative mating for pigmentation alleles, and that pollinator behaviour alone is sufficient to explain this pattern. Selection by pollinators should be sufficiently strong to maintain the hybrid zone, although other mechanisms may be at work. At a broader scale I examined evolutionary transitions between yellow and anthocyanin pigmentation in the tribe Antirrhinae, and found that selection has acted strate that pollinators are a major determinant of reproductive success and mating patterns in wild Antirrhinum. AU - Ellis, Thomas ID - 1398 SN - 2663-337X TI - The role of pollinator-mediated selection in the maintenance of a flower color polymorphism in an Antirrhinum majus hybrid zone ER - TY - THES AB - Evolution of gene regulation is important for phenotypic evolution and diversity. Sequence-specific binding of regulatory proteins is one of the key regulatory mechanisms determining gene expression. Although there has been intense interest in evolution of regulatory binding sites in the last decades, a theoretical understanding is far from being complete. In this thesis, I aim at a better understanding of the evolution of transcriptional regulatory binding sequences by using biophysical and population genetic models. In the first part of the thesis, I discuss how to formulate the evolutionary dynamics of binding se- quences in a single isolated binding site and in promoter/enhancer regions. I develop a theoretical framework bridging between a thermodynamical model for transcription and a mutation-selection-drift model for monomorphic populations. I mainly address the typical evolutionary rates, and how they de- pend on biophysical parameters (e.g. binding length and specificity) and population genetic parameters (e.g. population size and selection strength). In the second part of the thesis, I analyse empirical data for a better evolutionary and biophysical understanding of sequence-specific binding of bacterial RNA polymerase. First, I infer selection on regulatory and non-regulatory binding sites of RNA polymerase in the E. coli K12 genome. Second, I infer the chemical potential of RNA polymerase, an important but unknown physical parameter defining the threshold energy for strong binding. Furthermore, I try to understand the relation between the lac promoter sequence diversity and the LacZ activity variation among 20 bacterial isolates by constructing a simple but biophysically motivated gene expression model. Lastly, I lay out a statistical framework to predict adaptive point mutations in de novo promoter evolution in a selection experiment. AU - Tugrul, Murat ID - 1131 SN - 2663-337X TI - Evolution of transcriptional regulatory sequences ER - TY - CONF AB - Evolutionary algorithms (EAs) form a popular optimisation paradigm inspired by natural evolution. In recent years the field of evolutionary computation has developed a rigorous analytical theory to analyse their runtime on many illustrative problems. Here we apply this theory to a simple model of natural evolution. In the Strong Selection Weak Mutation (SSWM) evolutionary regime the time between occurrence of new mutations is much longer than the time it takes for a new beneficial mutation to take over the population. In this situation, the population only contains copies of one genotype and evolution can be modelled as a (1+1)-type process where the probability of accepting a new genotype (improvements or worsenings) depends on the change in fitness. We present an initial runtime analysis of SSWM, quantifying its performance for various parameters and investigating differences to the (1+1) EA. We show that SSWM can have a moderate advantage over the (1+1) EA at crossing fitness valleys and study an example where SSWM outperforms the (1+1) EA by taking advantage of information on the fitness gradient. AU - Paixao, Tiago AU - Sudholt, Dirk AU - Heredia, Jorge AU - Trubenova, Barbora ID - 1430 T2 - Proceedings of the 2015 Annual Conference on Genetic and Evolutionary Computation TI - First steps towards a runtime comparison of natural and artificial evolution ER -