@article{564, abstract = {Maladapted individuals can only colonise a new habitat if they can evolve a positive growth rate fast enough to avoid extinction, a process known as evolutionary rescue. We treat log fitness at low density in the new habitat as a single polygenic trait and thus use the infinitesimal model to follow the evolution of the growth rate; this assumes that the trait values of offspring of a sexual union are normally distributed around the mean of the parents’ trait values, with variance that depends only on the parents’ relatedness. The probability that a single migrant can establish depends on just two parameters: the mean and genetic variance of the trait in the source population. The chance of success becomes small if migrants come from a population with mean growth rate in the new habitat more than a few standard deviations below zero; this chance depends roughly equally on the probability that the initial founder is unusually fit, and on the subsequent increase in growth rate of its offspring as a result of selection. The loss of genetic variation during the founding event is substantial, but highly variable. With continued migration at rate M, establishment is inevitable; when migration is rare, the expected time to establishment decreases inversely with M. However, above a threshold migration rate, the population may be trapped in a ‘sink’ state, in which adaptation is held back by gene flow; above this threshold, the expected time to establishment increases exponentially with M. This threshold behaviour is captured by a deterministic approximation, which assumes a Gaussian distribution of the trait in the founder population with mean and variance evolving deterministically. By assuming a constant genetic variance, we also develop a diffusion approximation for the joint distribution of population size and trait mean, which extends to include stabilising selection and density regulation. Divergence of the population from its ancestors causes partial reproductive isolation, which we measure through the reproductive value of migrants into the newly established population.}, author = {Barton, Nicholas H and Etheridge, Alison}, journal = {Theoretical Population Biology}, number = {7}, pages = {110--127}, publisher = {Academic Press}, title = {{Establishment in a new habitat by polygenic adaptation}}, doi = {10.1016/j.tpb.2017.11.007}, volume = {122}, year = {2018}, } @article{563, abstract = {In continuous populations with local migration, nearby pairs of individuals have on average more similar genotypes than geographically well separated pairs. A barrier to gene flow distorts this classical pattern of isolation by distance. Genetic similarity is decreased for sample pairs on different sides of the barrier and increased for pairs on the same side near the barrier. Here, we introduce an inference scheme that utilizes this signal to detect and estimate the strength of a linear barrier to gene flow in two-dimensions. We use a diffusion approximation to model the effects of a barrier on the geographical spread of ancestry backwards in time. This approach allows us to calculate the chance of recent coalescence and probability of identity by descent. We introduce an inference scheme that fits these theoretical results to the geographical covariance structure of bialleleic genetic markers. It can estimate the strength of the barrier as well as several demographic parameters. We investigate the power of our inference scheme to detect barriers by applying it to a wide range of simulated data. We also showcase an example application to a Antirrhinum majus (snapdragon) flower color hybrid zone, where we do not detect any signal of a strong genome wide barrier to gene flow.}, author = {Ringbauer, Harald and Kolesnikov, Alexander and Field, David and Barton, Nicholas H}, journal = {Genetics}, number = {3}, pages = {1231--1245}, publisher = {Genetics Society of America}, title = {{Estimating barriers to gene flow from distorted isolation-by-distance patterns}}, doi = {10.1534/genetics.117.300638}, volume = {208}, year = {2018}, } @article{316, abstract = {Self-incompatibility (SI) is a genetically based recognition system that functions to prevent self-fertilization and mating among related plants. An enduring puzzle in SI is how the high diversity observed in nature arises and is maintained. Based on the underlying recognition mechanism, SI can be classified into two main groups: self- and non-self recognition. Most work has focused on diversification within self-recognition systems despite expected differences between the two groups in the evolutionary pathways and outcomes of diversification. Here, we use a deterministic population genetic model and stochastic simulations to investigate how novel S-haplotypes evolve in a gametophytic non-self recognition (SRNase/S Locus F-box (SLF)) SI system. For this model the pathways for diversification involve either the maintenance or breakdown of SI and can vary in the order of mutations of the female (SRNase) and male (SLF) components. We show analytically that diversification can occur with high inbreeding depression and self-pollination, but this varies with evolutionary pathway and level of completeness (which determines the number of potential mating partners in the population), and in general is more likely for lower haplotype number. The conditions for diversification are broader in stochastic simulations of finite population size. However, the number of haplotypes observed under high inbreeding and moderate to high self-pollination is less than that commonly observed in nature. Diversification was observed through pathways that maintain SI as well as through self-compatible intermediates. Yet the lifespan of diversified haplotypes was sensitive to their level of completeness. By examining diversification in a non-self recognition SI system, this model extends our understanding of the evolution and maintenance of haplotype diversity observed in a self recognition system common in flowering plants.}, author = {Bodova, Katarina and Priklopil, Tadeas and Field, David and Barton, Nicholas H and Pickup, Melinda}, journal = {Genetics}, number = {3}, pages = {861--883}, publisher = {Genetics Society of America}, title = {{Evolutionary pathways for the generation of new self-incompatibility haplotypes in a non-self recognition system}}, doi = {10.1534/genetics.118.300748}, volume = {209}, year = {2018}, } @misc{9813, abstract = {File S1 contains figures that clarify the following features: (i) effect of population size on the average number/frequency of SI classes, (ii) changes in the minimal completeness deficit in time for a single class, and (iii) diversification diagrams for all studied pathways, including the summary figure for k = 8. File S2 contains the code required for a stochastic simulation of the SLF system with an example. This file also includes the output in the form of figures and tables.}, author = {Bod'ová, Katarína and Priklopil, Tadeas and Field, David and Barton, Nicholas H and Pickup, Melinda}, publisher = {Genetics Society of America}, title = {{Supplemental material for Bodova et al., 2018}}, doi = {10.25386/genetics.6148304.v1}, year = {2018}, } @article{723, abstract = {Escaping local optima is one of the major obstacles to function optimisation. Using the metaphor of a fitness landscape, local optima correspond to hills separated by fitness valleys that have to be overcome. We define a class of fitness valleys of tunable difficulty by considering their length, representing the Hamming path between the two optima and their depth, the drop in fitness. For this function class we present a runtime comparison between stochastic search algorithms using different search strategies. The (1+1) EA is a simple and well-studied evolutionary algorithm that has to jump across the valley to a point of higher fitness because it does not accept worsening moves (elitism). In contrast, the Metropolis algorithm and the Strong Selection Weak Mutation (SSWM) algorithm, a famous process in population genetics, are both able to cross the fitness valley by accepting worsening moves. We show that the runtime of the (1+1) EA depends critically on the length of the valley while the runtimes of the non-elitist algorithms depend crucially on the depth of the valley. Moreover, we show that both SSWM and Metropolis can also efficiently optimise a rugged function consisting of consecutive valleys.}, author = {Oliveto, Pietro and Paixao, Tiago and Pérez Heredia, Jorge and Sudholt, Dirk and Trubenova, Barbora}, journal = {Algorithmica}, number = {5}, pages = {1604 -- 1633}, publisher = {Springer}, title = {{How to escape local optima in black box optimisation when non elitism outperforms elitism}}, doi = {10.1007/s00453-017-0369-2}, volume = {80}, year = {2018}, } @article{282, abstract = {Adaptive introgression is common in nature and can be driven by selection acting on multiple, linked genes. We explore the effects of polygenic selection on introgression under the infinitesimal model with linkage. This model assumes that the introgressing block has an effectively infinite number of genes, each with an infinitesimal effect on the trait under selection. The block is assumed to introgress under directional selection within a native population that is genetically homogeneous. We use individual-based simulations and a branching process approximation to compute various statistics of the introgressing block, and explore how these depend on parameters such as the map length and initial trait value associated with the introgressing block, the genetic variability along the block, and the strength of selection. Our results show that the introgression dynamics of a block under infinitesimal selection is qualitatively different from the dynamics of neutral introgression. We also find that in the long run, surviving descendant blocks are likely to have intermediate lengths, and clarify how the length is shaped by the interplay between linkage and infinitesimal selection. Our results suggest that it may be difficult to distinguish introgression of single loci from that of genomic blocks with multiple, tightly linked and weakly selected loci.}, author = {Sachdeva, Himani and Barton, Nicholas H}, journal = {Genetics}, number = {4}, pages = {1279 -- 1303}, publisher = {Genetics Society of America}, title = {{Introgression of a block of genome under infinitesimal selection}}, doi = {10.1534/genetics.118.301018}, volume = {209}, year = {2018}, } @article{39, abstract = {We study how a block of genome with a large number of weakly selected loci introgresses under directional selection into a genetically homogeneous population. We derive exact expressions for the expected rate of growth of any fragment of the introduced block during the initial phase of introgression, and show that the growth rate of a single-locus variant is largely insensitive to its own additive effect, but depends instead on the combined effect of all loci within a characteristic linkage scale. The expected growth rate of a fragment is highly correlated with its long-term introgression probability in populations of moderate size, and can hence identify variants that are likely to introgress across replicate populations. We clarify how the introgression probability of an individual variant is determined by the interplay between hitchhiking with relatively large fragments during the early phase of introgression and selection on fine-scale variation within these, which at longer times results in differential introgression probabilities for beneficial and deleterious loci within successful fragments. By simulating individuals, we also investigate how introgression probabilities at individual loci depend on the variance of fitness effects, the net fitness of the introduced block, and the size of the recipient population, and how this shapes the net advance under selection. Our work suggests that even highly replicable substitutions may be associated with a range of selective effects, which makes it challenging to fine map the causal loci that underlie polygenic adaptation.}, author = {Sachdeva, Himani and Barton, Nicholas H}, issn = {00166731}, journal = {Genetics}, number = {4}, pages = {1411--1427}, publisher = {Genetics Society of America}, title = {{Replicability of introgression under linked, polygenic selection}}, doi = {10.1534/genetics.118.301429}, volume = {210}, year = {2018}, } @article{38, abstract = {Genomes of closely-related species or populations often display localized regions of enhanced relative sequence divergence, termed genomic islands. It has been proposed that these islands arise through selective sweeps and/or barriers to gene flow. Here, we genetically dissect a genomic island that controls flower color pattern differences between two subspecies of Antirrhinum majus, A.m.striatum and A.m.pseudomajus, and relate it to clinal variation across a natural hybrid zone. We show that selective sweeps likely raised relative divergence at two tightly-linked MYB-like transcription factors, leading to distinct flower patterns in the two subspecies. The two patterns provide alternate floral guides and create a strong barrier to gene flow where populations come into contact. This barrier affects the selected flower color genes and tightlylinked loci, but does not extend outside of this domain, allowing gene flow to lower relative divergence for the rest of the chromosome. Thus, both selective sweeps and barriers to gene flow play a role in shaping genomic islands: sweeps cause elevation in relative divergence, while heterogeneous gene flow flattens the surrounding "sea," making the island of divergence stand out. By showing how selective sweeps establish alternative adaptive phenotypes that lead to barriers to gene flow, our study sheds light on possible mechanisms leading to reproductive isolation and speciation.}, author = {Tavares, Hugo and Whitley, Annabel and Field, David and Bradley, Desmond and Couchman, Matthew and Copsey, Lucy and Elleouet, Joane and Burrus, Monique and Andalo, Christophe and Li, Miaomiao and Li, Qun and Xue, Yongbiao and Rebocho, Alexandra B and Barton, Nicholas H and Coen, Enrico}, issn = {00278424}, journal = {PNAS}, number = {43}, pages = {11006 -- 11011}, publisher = {National Academy of Sciences}, title = {{Selection and gene flow shape genomic islands that control floral guides}}, doi = {10.1073/pnas.1801832115}, volume = {115}, year = {2018}, } @article{40, abstract = {Hanemaaijer et al. (Molecular Ecology, 27, 2018) describe the genetic consequences of the introgression of an insecticide resistance allele into a mosquito population. Linked alleles initially increased, but many of these later declined. It is hard to determine whether this decline was due to counter‐selection, rather than simply to chance.}, author = {Barton, Nicholas H}, issn = {1365294X}, journal = {Molecular Ecology}, number = {24}, pages = {4973--4975}, publisher = {Wiley}, title = {{The consequences of an introgression event}}, doi = {10.1111/mec.14950}, volume = {27}, year = {2018}, } @article{565, abstract = {We re-examine the model of Kirkpatrick and Barton for the spread of an inversion into a local population. This model assumes that local selection maintains alleles at two or more loci, despite immigration of alternative alleles at these loci from another population. We show that an inversion is favored because it prevents the breakdown of linkage disequilibrium generated by migration; the selective advantage of an inversion is proportional to the amount of recombination between the loci involved, as in other cases where inversions are selected for. We derive expressions for the rate of spread of an inversion; when the loci covered by the inversion are tightly linked, these conditions deviate substantially from those proposed previously, and imply that an inversion can then have only a small advantage. }, author = {Charlesworth, Brian and Barton, Nicholas H}, journal = {Genetics}, number = {1}, pages = {377 -- 382}, publisher = {Genetics }, title = {{The spread of an inversion with migration and selection}}, doi = {10.1534/genetics.117.300426}, volume = {208}, year = {2018}, }