--- _id: '14938' abstract: - lang: eng text: High elevation headwater catchments are complex hydrological systems that seasonally buffer water and release it in the form of snow and ice melt, modulating downstream runoff regimes and water availability. In High Mountain Asia (HMA), where a wide range of climates from semi-arid to monsoonal exist, the importance of the cryospheric contributions to the water budget varies with the amount and seasonal distribution of precipitation. Losses due to evapotranspiration and sublimation are to date largely unquantified components of the water budget in such catchments, although they can be comparable in magnitude to glacier melt contributions to streamflow. 
Here, we simulate the hydrology of three high elevation headwater catchments in distinct climates in HMA over 10 years using an ecohydrological model geared towards high-mountain areas including snow and glaciers, forced with reanalysis data. 
Our results show that evapotranspiration and sublimation together are most important at the semi-arid site, Kyzylsu, on the northernmost slopes of the Pamir mountain range. Here, the evaporative loss amounts to 28% of the water throughput, which we define as the total water added to, or removed from the water balance within a year. In comparison, evaporative losses are 19% at the Central Himalayan site Langtang and 13% at the wettest site, 24K, on the Southeastern Tibetan Plateau. At the three sites, respectively, sublimation removes 15%, 13% and 6% of snowfall, while evapotranspiration removes the equivalent of 76%, 28% and 19% of rainfall. In absolute terms, and across a comparable elevation range, the highest ET flux is 413 mm yr-1 at 24K, while the highest sublimation flux is 91 mm yr-1 at Kyzylsu. During warm and dry years, glacier melt was found to only partially compensate for the annual supply deficit. article_processing_charge: Yes article_type: original author: - first_name: Stefan full_name: Fugger, Stefan id: 86698d64-c4c6-11ee-af02-cdf1e6a7d31f last_name: Fugger - first_name: Thomas full_name: Shaw, Thomas id: 3caa3f91-1f03-11ee-96ce-e0e553054d6e last_name: Shaw orcid: 0000-0001-7640-6152 - first_name: Achille full_name: Jouberton, Achille last_name: Jouberton - first_name: Evan full_name: Miles, Evan last_name: Miles - first_name: Pascal full_name: Buri, Pascal id: 317987aa-9421-11ee-ac5a-b941b041abba last_name: Buri - first_name: Michael full_name: McCarthy, Michael id: 22a2674a-61ce-11ee-94b5-d18813baf16f last_name: McCarthy - first_name: Catriona Louise full_name: Fyffe, Catriona Louise id: 001b0422-8d15-11ed-bc51-cab6c037a228 last_name: Fyffe - first_name: Simone full_name: Fatichi, Simone last_name: Fatichi - first_name: Marin full_name: Kneib, Marin last_name: Kneib - first_name: Peter full_name: Molnar, Peter last_name: Molnar - first_name: Francesca full_name: Pellicciotti, Francesca id: b28f055a-81ea-11ed-b70c-a9fe7f7b0e70 last_name: Pellicciotti orcid: 0000-0002-5554-8087 citation: ama: Fugger S, Shaw T, Jouberton A, et al. Hydrological regimes and evaporative flux partitioning at the climatic ends of High Mountain Asia. Environmental Research Letters. doi:10.1088/1748-9326/ad25a0 apa: Fugger, S., Shaw, T., Jouberton, A., Miles, E., Buri, P., McCarthy, M., … Pellicciotti, F. (n.d.). Hydrological regimes and evaporative flux partitioning at the climatic ends of High Mountain Asia. Environmental Research Letters. IOP Publishing. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ad25a0 chicago: Fugger, Stefan, Thomas Shaw, Achille Jouberton, Evan Miles, Pascal Buri, Michael McCarthy, Catriona Louise Fyffe, et al. “Hydrological Regimes and Evaporative Flux Partitioning at the Climatic Ends of High Mountain Asia.” Environmental Research Letters. IOP Publishing, n.d. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ad25a0. ieee: S. Fugger et al., “Hydrological regimes and evaporative flux partitioning at the climatic ends of High Mountain Asia,” Environmental Research Letters. IOP Publishing. ista: Fugger S, Shaw T, Jouberton A, Miles E, Buri P, McCarthy M, Fyffe CL, Fatichi S, Kneib M, Molnar P, Pellicciotti F. Hydrological regimes and evaporative flux partitioning at the climatic ends of High Mountain Asia. Environmental Research Letters. mla: Fugger, Stefan, et al. “Hydrological Regimes and Evaporative Flux Partitioning at the Climatic Ends of High Mountain Asia.” Environmental Research Letters, IOP Publishing, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/ad25a0. short: S. Fugger, T. Shaw, A. Jouberton, E. Miles, P. Buri, M. McCarthy, C.L. Fyffe, S. Fatichi, M. Kneib, P. Molnar, F. Pellicciotti, Environmental Research Letters (n.d.). date_created: 2024-02-05T09:01:11Z date_published: 2024-02-02T00:00:00Z date_updated: 2024-02-06T08:35:39Z day: '02' ddc: - '550' department: - _id: FrPe doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/ad25a0 has_accepted_license: '1' keyword: - Public Health - Environmental and Occupational Health - General Environmental Science - Renewable Energy - Sustainability and the Environment language: - iso: eng main_file_link: - open_access: '1' url: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ad25a0 month: '02' oa: 1 oa_version: Published Version publication: Environmental Research Letters publication_identifier: issn: - 1748-9326 publication_status: accepted publisher: IOP Publishing quality_controlled: '1' status: public title: Hydrological regimes and evaporative flux partitioning at the climatic ends of High Mountain Asia tmp: image: /images/cc_by.png legal_code_url: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/legalcode name: Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International Public License (CC-BY 4.0) short: CC BY (4.0) type: journal_article user_id: 2DF688A6-F248-11E8-B48F-1D18A9856A87 year: '2024' ... --- _id: '14851' abstract: - lang: ger text: Die Quantenrotation ist ein spannendes Phänomen, das in vielen verschiedenen Systemen auftritt, von Molekülen und Atomen bis hin zu subatomaren Teilchen wie Neutronen und Protonen. Durch den Einsatz von starken Laserpulsen ist es möglich, die mathematisch anspruchsvolle Topologie der Rotation von Molekülen aufzudecken und topologisch geschützte Zustände zu erzeugen, die unerwartetes Verhalten zeigen. Diese Entdeckungen könnten Auswirkungen auf die Molekülphysik und physikalische Chemie haben und die Entwicklung neuer Technologien ermöglichen. Die Verbindung von Quantenrotation und Topologie stellt ein aufregendes, interdisziplinäres Forschungsfeld dar und bietet neue Wege zur Kontrolle und Nutzung von quantenmechanischen Phänomenen. article_processing_charge: Yes (via OA deal) article_type: original author: - first_name: Volker full_name: Karle, Volker id: D7C012AE-D7ED-11E9-95E8-1EC5E5697425 last_name: Karle orcid: 0000-0002-6963-0129 - first_name: Mikhail full_name: Lemeshko, Mikhail id: 37CB05FA-F248-11E8-B48F-1D18A9856A87 last_name: Lemeshko orcid: 0000-0002-6990-7802 citation: ama: Karle V, Lemeshko M. Die faszinierende Topologie rotierender Quanten. Physik in unserer Zeit. 2024;55(1):28-33. doi:10.1002/piuz.202301690 apa: Karle, V., & Lemeshko, M. (2024). Die faszinierende Topologie rotierender Quanten. Physik in unserer Zeit. Wiley. https://doi.org/10.1002/piuz.202301690 chicago: Karle, Volker, and Mikhail Lemeshko. “Die faszinierende Topologie rotierender Quanten.” Physik in unserer Zeit. Wiley, 2024. https://doi.org/10.1002/piuz.202301690. ieee: V. Karle and M. Lemeshko, “Die faszinierende Topologie rotierender Quanten,” Physik in unserer Zeit, vol. 55, no. 1. Wiley, pp. 28–33, 2024. ista: Karle V, Lemeshko M. 2024. Die faszinierende Topologie rotierender Quanten. Physik in unserer Zeit. 55(1), 28–33. mla: Karle, Volker, and Mikhail Lemeshko. “Die faszinierende Topologie rotierender Quanten.” Physik in unserer Zeit, vol. 55, no. 1, Wiley, 2024, pp. 28–33, doi:10.1002/piuz.202301690. short: V. Karle, M. Lemeshko, Physik in unserer Zeit 55 (2024) 28–33. date_created: 2024-01-22T08:19:36Z date_published: 2024-01-01T00:00:00Z date_updated: 2024-02-15T14:29:04Z day: '01' ddc: - '530' department: - _id: MiLe doi: 10.1002/piuz.202301690 file: - access_level: open_access checksum: 3051dadcf9bc57da97e36b647c596ab1 content_type: application/pdf creator: dernst date_created: 2024-01-23T12:18:07Z date_updated: 2024-01-23T12:18:07Z file_id: '14878' file_name: 2024_PhysikZeit_Karle.pdf file_size: 1155244 relation: main_file success: 1 file_date_updated: 2024-01-23T12:18:07Z has_accepted_license: '1' intvolume: ' 55' issue: '1' keyword: - General Earth and Planetary Sciences - General Environmental Science language: - iso: ger month: '01' oa: 1 oa_version: Published Version page: 28-33 publication: Physik in unserer Zeit publication_identifier: eissn: - 1521-3943 issn: - 0031-9252 publication_status: published publisher: Wiley quality_controlled: '1' status: public title: Die faszinierende Topologie rotierender Quanten tmp: image: /images/cc_by.png legal_code_url: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/legalcode name: Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International Public License (CC-BY 4.0) short: CC BY (4.0) type: journal_article user_id: 3E5EF7F0-F248-11E8-B48F-1D18A9856A87 volume: 55 year: '2024' ... --- _id: '12580' abstract: - lang: eng text: River systems originating from the Upper Indus Basin (UIB) are dominated by runoff from snow and glacier melt and summer monsoonal rainfall. These water resources are highly stressed as huge populations of people living in this region depend on them, including for agriculture, domestic use, and energy production. Projections suggest that the UIB region will be affected by considerable (yet poorly quantified) changes to the seasonality and composition of runoff in the future, which are likely to have considerable impacts on these supplies. Given how directly and indirectly communities and ecosystems are dependent on these resources and the growing pressure on them due to ever-increasing demands, the impacts of climate change pose considerable adaptation challenges. The strong linkages between hydroclimate, cryosphere, water resources, and human activities within the UIB suggest that a multi- and inter-disciplinary research approach integrating the social and natural/environmental sciences is critical for successful adaptation to ongoing and future hydrological and climate change. Here we use a horizon scanning technique to identify the Top 100 questions related to the most pressing knowledge gaps and research priorities in social and natural sciences on climate change and water in the UIB. These questions are on the margins of current thinking and investigation and are clustered into 14 themes, covering three overarching topics of “governance, policy, and sustainable solutions”, “socioeconomic processes and livelihoods”, and “integrated Earth System processes”. Raising awareness of these cutting-edge knowledge gaps and opportunities will hopefully encourage researchers, funding bodies, practitioners, and policy makers to address them. article_number: e2021EF002619 article_processing_charge: No article_type: original author: - first_name: Andrew full_name: Orr, Andrew last_name: Orr - first_name: Bashir full_name: Ahmad, Bashir last_name: Ahmad - first_name: Undala full_name: Alam, Undala last_name: Alam - first_name: ArivudaiNambi full_name: Appadurai, ArivudaiNambi last_name: Appadurai - first_name: Zareen P. full_name: Bharucha, Zareen P. last_name: Bharucha - first_name: Hester full_name: Biemans, Hester last_name: Biemans - first_name: Tobias full_name: Bolch, Tobias last_name: Bolch - first_name: Narayan P. full_name: Chaulagain, Narayan P. last_name: Chaulagain - first_name: Sanita full_name: Dhaubanjar, Sanita last_name: Dhaubanjar - first_name: A. P. full_name: Dimri, A. P. last_name: Dimri - first_name: Harry full_name: Dixon, Harry last_name: Dixon - first_name: Hayley J. full_name: Fowler, Hayley J. last_name: Fowler - first_name: Giovanna full_name: Gioli, Giovanna last_name: Gioli - first_name: Sarah J. full_name: Halvorson, Sarah J. last_name: Halvorson - first_name: Abid full_name: Hussain, Abid last_name: Hussain - first_name: Ghulam full_name: Jeelani, Ghulam last_name: Jeelani - first_name: Simi full_name: Kamal, Simi last_name: Kamal - first_name: Imran S. full_name: Khalid, Imran S. last_name: Khalid - first_name: Shiyin full_name: Liu, Shiyin last_name: Liu - first_name: Arthur full_name: Lutz, Arthur last_name: Lutz - first_name: Meeta K. full_name: Mehra, Meeta K. last_name: Mehra - first_name: Evan full_name: Miles, Evan last_name: Miles - first_name: Andrea full_name: Momblanch, Andrea last_name: Momblanch - first_name: Veruska full_name: Muccione, Veruska last_name: Muccione - first_name: Aditi full_name: Mukherji, Aditi last_name: Mukherji - first_name: Daanish full_name: Mustafa, Daanish last_name: Mustafa - first_name: Omaid full_name: Najmuddin, Omaid last_name: Najmuddin - first_name: Mohammad N. full_name: Nasimi, Mohammad N. last_name: Nasimi - first_name: Marcus full_name: Nüsser, Marcus last_name: Nüsser - first_name: Vishnu P. full_name: Pandey, Vishnu P. last_name: Pandey - first_name: Sitara full_name: Parveen, Sitara last_name: Parveen - first_name: Francesca full_name: Pellicciotti, Francesca id: b28f055a-81ea-11ed-b70c-a9fe7f7b0e70 last_name: Pellicciotti - first_name: Carmel full_name: Pollino, Carmel last_name: Pollino - first_name: Emily full_name: Potter, Emily last_name: Potter - first_name: Mohammad R. full_name: Qazizada, Mohammad R. last_name: Qazizada - first_name: Saon full_name: Ray, Saon last_name: Ray - first_name: Shakil full_name: Romshoo, Shakil last_name: Romshoo - first_name: Syamal K. full_name: Sarkar, Syamal K. last_name: Sarkar - first_name: Amiera full_name: Sawas, Amiera last_name: Sawas - first_name: Sumit full_name: Sen, Sumit last_name: Sen - first_name: Attaullah full_name: Shah, Attaullah last_name: Shah - first_name: M. Azeem Ali full_name: Shah, M. Azeem Ali last_name: Shah - first_name: Joseph M. full_name: Shea, Joseph M. last_name: Shea - first_name: Ali T. full_name: Sheikh, Ali T. last_name: Sheikh - first_name: Arun B. full_name: Shrestha, Arun B. last_name: Shrestha - first_name: Shresth full_name: Tayal, Shresth last_name: Tayal - first_name: Snehlata full_name: Tigala, Snehlata last_name: Tigala - first_name: Zeeshan T. full_name: Virk, Zeeshan T. last_name: Virk - first_name: Philippus full_name: Wester, Philippus last_name: Wester - first_name: James L. full_name: Wescoat, James L. last_name: Wescoat citation: ama: 'Orr A, Ahmad B, Alam U, et al. Knowledge priorities on climate change and water in the Upper Indus Basin: A horizon scanning exercise to identify the Top 100 research questions in social and natural sciences. Earth’s Future. 2022;10(4). doi:10.1029/2021ef002619' apa: 'Orr, A., Ahmad, B., Alam, U., Appadurai, A., Bharucha, Z. P., Biemans, H., … Wescoat, J. L. (2022). Knowledge priorities on climate change and water in the Upper Indus Basin: A horizon scanning exercise to identify the Top 100 research questions in social and natural sciences. Earth’s Future. American Geophysical Union. https://doi.org/10.1029/2021ef002619' chicago: 'Orr, Andrew, Bashir Ahmad, Undala Alam, ArivudaiNambi Appadurai, Zareen P. Bharucha, Hester Biemans, Tobias Bolch, et al. “Knowledge Priorities on Climate Change and Water in the Upper Indus Basin: A Horizon Scanning Exercise to Identify the Top 100 Research Questions in Social and Natural Sciences.” Earth’s Future. American Geophysical Union, 2022. https://doi.org/10.1029/2021ef002619.' ieee: 'A. Orr et al., “Knowledge priorities on climate change and water in the Upper Indus Basin: A horizon scanning exercise to identify the Top 100 research questions in social and natural sciences,” Earth’s Future, vol. 10, no. 4. American Geophysical Union, 2022.' ista: 'Orr A, Ahmad B, Alam U, Appadurai A, Bharucha ZP, Biemans H, Bolch T, Chaulagain NP, Dhaubanjar S, Dimri AP, Dixon H, Fowler HJ, Gioli G, Halvorson SJ, Hussain A, Jeelani G, Kamal S, Khalid IS, Liu S, Lutz A, Mehra MK, Miles E, Momblanch A, Muccione V, Mukherji A, Mustafa D, Najmuddin O, Nasimi MN, Nüsser M, Pandey VP, Parveen S, Pellicciotti F, Pollino C, Potter E, Qazizada MR, Ray S, Romshoo S, Sarkar SK, Sawas A, Sen S, Shah A, Shah MAA, Shea JM, Sheikh AT, Shrestha AB, Tayal S, Tigala S, Virk ZT, Wester P, Wescoat JL. 2022. Knowledge priorities on climate change and water in the Upper Indus Basin: A horizon scanning exercise to identify the Top 100 research questions in social and natural sciences. Earth’s Future. 10(4), e2021EF002619.' mla: 'Orr, Andrew, et al. “Knowledge Priorities on Climate Change and Water in the Upper Indus Basin: A Horizon Scanning Exercise to Identify the Top 100 Research Questions in Social and Natural Sciences.” Earth’s Future, vol. 10, no. 4, e2021EF002619, American Geophysical Union, 2022, doi:10.1029/2021ef002619.' short: A. Orr, B. Ahmad, U. Alam, A. Appadurai, Z.P. Bharucha, H. Biemans, T. Bolch, N.P. Chaulagain, S. Dhaubanjar, A.P. Dimri, H. Dixon, H.J. Fowler, G. Gioli, S.J. Halvorson, A. Hussain, G. Jeelani, S. Kamal, I.S. Khalid, S. Liu, A. Lutz, M.K. Mehra, E. Miles, A. Momblanch, V. Muccione, A. Mukherji, D. Mustafa, O. Najmuddin, M.N. Nasimi, M. Nüsser, V.P. Pandey, S. Parveen, F. Pellicciotti, C. Pollino, E. Potter, M.R. Qazizada, S. Ray, S. Romshoo, S.K. Sarkar, A. Sawas, S. Sen, A. Shah, M.A.A. Shah, J.M. Shea, A.T. Sheikh, A.B. Shrestha, S. Tayal, S. Tigala, Z.T. Virk, P. Wester, J.L. Wescoat, Earth’s Future 10 (2022). date_created: 2023-02-20T08:10:23Z date_published: 2022-04-01T00:00:00Z date_updated: 2023-02-28T13:41:50Z day: '01' doi: 10.1029/2021ef002619 extern: '1' intvolume: ' 10' issue: '4' keyword: - Earth and Planetary Sciences (miscellaneous) - General Environmental Science language: - iso: eng main_file_link: - open_access: '1' url: https://doi.org/10.1029/2021EF002619 month: '04' oa: 1 oa_version: Published Version publication: Earth's Future publication_identifier: issn: - 2328-4277 publication_status: published publisher: American Geophysical Union quality_controlled: '1' scopus_import: '1' status: public title: 'Knowledge priorities on climate change and water in the Upper Indus Basin: A horizon scanning exercise to identify the Top 100 research questions in social and natural sciences' type: journal_article user_id: 2DF688A6-F248-11E8-B48F-1D18A9856A87 volume: 10 year: '2022' ... --- _id: '12576' abstract: - lang: eng text: Glacier health across High Mountain Asia (HMA) is highly heterogeneous and strongly governed by regional climate, which is variably influenced by monsoon dynamics and the westerlies. We explore four decades of glacier energy and mass balance at three climatically distinct sites across HMA by utilising a detailed land surface model driven by bias-corrected Weather Research and Forecasting meteorological forcing. All three glaciers have experienced long-term mass losses (ranging from −0.04 ± 0.09 to −0.59 ± 0.20 m w.e. a−1) consistent with widespread warming across the region. However, complex and contrasting responses of glacier energy and mass balance to the patterns of the Indian Summer Monsoon were evident, largely driven by the role snowfall timing, amount and phase. A later monsoon onset generates less total snowfall to the glacier in the southeastern Tibetan Plateau during May–June, augmenting net shortwave radiation and affecting annual mass balance (−0.5 m w.e. on average compared to early onset years). Conversely, timing of the monsoon’s arrival has limited impact for the Nepalese Himalaya which is more strongly governed by the temperature and snowfall amount during the core monsoon season. In the arid central Tibetan Plateau, a later monsoon arrival results in a 40 mm (58%) increase of May–June snowfall on average compared to early onset years, likely driven by the greater interaction of westerly storm events. Meanwhile, a late monsoon cessation at this site sees an average 200 mm (192%) increase in late summer precipitation due to monsoonal storms. A trend towards weaker intensity monsoon conditions in recent decades, combined with long-term warming patterns, has produced predominantly negative glacier mass balances for all sites (up to 1 m w.e. more mass loss in the Nepalese Himalaya compared to strong monsoon intensity years) but sub-regional variability in monsoon timing can additionally complicate this response. article_number: '104001' article_processing_charge: No article_type: letter_note author: - first_name: T E full_name: Shaw, T E last_name: Shaw - first_name: E S full_name: Miles, E S last_name: Miles - first_name: D full_name: Chen, D last_name: Chen - first_name: A full_name: Jouberton, A last_name: Jouberton - first_name: M full_name: Kneib, M last_name: Kneib - first_name: S full_name: Fugger, S last_name: Fugger - first_name: T full_name: Ou, T last_name: Ou - first_name: H-W full_name: Lai, H-W last_name: Lai - first_name: K full_name: Fujita, K last_name: Fujita - first_name: W full_name: Yang, W last_name: Yang - first_name: S full_name: Fatichi, S last_name: Fatichi - first_name: Francesca full_name: Pellicciotti, Francesca id: b28f055a-81ea-11ed-b70c-a9fe7f7b0e70 last_name: Pellicciotti citation: ama: Shaw TE, Miles ES, Chen D, et al. Multi-decadal monsoon characteristics and glacier response in High Mountain Asia. Environmental Research Letters. 2022;17(10). doi:10.1088/1748-9326/ac9008 apa: Shaw, T. E., Miles, E. S., Chen, D., Jouberton, A., Kneib, M., Fugger, S., … Pellicciotti, F. (2022). Multi-decadal monsoon characteristics and glacier response in High Mountain Asia. Environmental Research Letters. IOP Publishing. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac9008 chicago: Shaw, T E, E S Miles, D Chen, A Jouberton, M Kneib, S Fugger, T Ou, et al. “Multi-Decadal Monsoon Characteristics and Glacier Response in High Mountain Asia.” Environmental Research Letters. IOP Publishing, 2022. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac9008. ieee: T. E. Shaw et al., “Multi-decadal monsoon characteristics and glacier response in High Mountain Asia,” Environmental Research Letters, vol. 17, no. 10. IOP Publishing, 2022. ista: Shaw TE, Miles ES, Chen D, Jouberton A, Kneib M, Fugger S, Ou T, Lai H-W, Fujita K, Yang W, Fatichi S, Pellicciotti F. 2022. Multi-decadal monsoon characteristics and glacier response in High Mountain Asia. Environmental Research Letters. 17(10), 104001. mla: Shaw, T. E., et al. “Multi-Decadal Monsoon Characteristics and Glacier Response in High Mountain Asia.” Environmental Research Letters, vol. 17, no. 10, 104001, IOP Publishing, 2022, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/ac9008. short: T.E. Shaw, E.S. Miles, D. Chen, A. Jouberton, M. Kneib, S. Fugger, T. Ou, H.-W. Lai, K. Fujita, W. Yang, S. Fatichi, F. Pellicciotti, Environmental Research Letters 17 (2022). date_created: 2023-02-20T08:09:56Z date_published: 2022-09-16T00:00:00Z date_updated: 2023-02-28T13:53:16Z day: '16' doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/ac9008 extern: '1' intvolume: ' 17' issue: '10' keyword: - Public Health - Environmental and Occupational Health - General Environmental Science - Renewable Energy - Sustainability and the Environment language: - iso: eng main_file_link: - open_access: '1' url: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac9008 month: '09' oa: 1 oa_version: Published Version publication: Environmental Research Letters publication_identifier: issn: - 1748-9326 publication_status: published publisher: IOP Publishing quality_controlled: '1' scopus_import: '1' status: public title: Multi-decadal monsoon characteristics and glacier response in High Mountain Asia type: journal_article user_id: 2DF688A6-F248-11E8-B48F-1D18A9856A87 volume: 17 year: '2022' ... --- _id: '12582' abstract: - lang: eng text: Supraglacial debris covers 7% of mountain glacier area globally and generally reduces glacier surface melt. Enhanced energy absorption at ice cliffs and supraglacial ponds scattered across the debris surface leads these features to contribute disproportionately to glacier-wide ablation. However, the degree to which cliffs and ponds actually increase melt rates remains unclear, as these features have only been studied in a detailed manner for selected locations, almost exclusively in High Mountain Asia. In this study we model the surface energy balance for debris-covered ice, ice cliffs, and supraglacial ponds with a set of automatic weather station records representing the global prevalence of debris-covered glacier ice. We generate 5000 random sets of values for physical parameters using probability distributions derived from literature, which we use to investigate relative melt rates and to isolate the melt responses of debris, cliffs and ponds to the site-specific meteorological forcing. Modelled sub-debris melt rates are primarily controlled by debris thickness and thermal conductivity. At a reference thickness of 0.1 m, sub-debris melt rates vary considerably, differing by up to a factor of four between sites, mainly attributable to air temperature differences. We find that melt rates for ice cliffs are consistently 2–3× the melt rate for clean glacier ice, but this melt enhancement decays with increasing clean ice melt rates. Energy absorption at supraglacial ponds is dominated by latent heat exchange and is therefore highly sensitive to wind speed and relative humidity, but is generally less than for clean ice. Our results provide reference melt enhancement factors for melt modelling of debris-covered glacier sites, globally, while highlighting the need for direct measurement of debris-covered glacier surface characteristics, physical parameters, and local meteorological conditions at a variety of sites around the world. article_number: '064004' article_processing_charge: No article_type: letter_note author: - first_name: E S full_name: Miles, E S last_name: Miles - first_name: J F full_name: Steiner, J F last_name: Steiner - first_name: P full_name: Buri, P last_name: Buri - first_name: W W full_name: Immerzeel, W W last_name: Immerzeel - first_name: Francesca full_name: Pellicciotti, Francesca id: b28f055a-81ea-11ed-b70c-a9fe7f7b0e70 last_name: Pellicciotti citation: ama: Miles ES, Steiner JF, Buri P, Immerzeel WW, Pellicciotti F. Controls on the relative melt rates of debris-covered glacier surfaces. Environmental Research Letters. 2022;17(6). doi:10.1088/1748-9326/ac6966 apa: Miles, E. S., Steiner, J. F., Buri, P., Immerzeel, W. W., & Pellicciotti, F. (2022). Controls on the relative melt rates of debris-covered glacier surfaces. Environmental Research Letters. IOP Publishing. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac6966 chicago: Miles, E S, J F Steiner, P Buri, W W Immerzeel, and Francesca Pellicciotti. “Controls on the Relative Melt Rates of Debris-Covered Glacier Surfaces.” Environmental Research Letters. IOP Publishing, 2022. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac6966. ieee: E. S. Miles, J. F. Steiner, P. Buri, W. W. Immerzeel, and F. Pellicciotti, “Controls on the relative melt rates of debris-covered glacier surfaces,” Environmental Research Letters, vol. 17, no. 6. IOP Publishing, 2022. ista: Miles ES, Steiner JF, Buri P, Immerzeel WW, Pellicciotti F. 2022. Controls on the relative melt rates of debris-covered glacier surfaces. Environmental Research Letters. 17(6), 064004. mla: Miles, E. S., et al. “Controls on the Relative Melt Rates of Debris-Covered Glacier Surfaces.” Environmental Research Letters, vol. 17, no. 6, 064004, IOP Publishing, 2022, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/ac6966. short: E.S. Miles, J.F. Steiner, P. Buri, W.W. Immerzeel, F. Pellicciotti, Environmental Research Letters 17 (2022). date_created: 2023-02-20T08:10:37Z date_published: 2022-06-01T00:00:00Z date_updated: 2023-02-28T13:34:25Z day: '01' doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/ac6966 extern: '1' intvolume: ' 17' issue: '6' keyword: - Public Health - Environmental and Occupational Health - General Environmental Science - Renewable Energy - Sustainability and the Environment language: - iso: eng main_file_link: - open_access: '1' url: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac6966 month: '06' oa: 1 oa_version: Published Version publication: Environmental Research Letters publication_identifier: issn: - 1748-9326 publication_status: published publisher: IOP Publishing quality_controlled: '1' scopus_import: '1' status: public title: Controls on the relative melt rates of debris-covered glacier surfaces type: journal_article user_id: 2DF688A6-F248-11E8-B48F-1D18A9856A87 volume: 17 year: '2022' ... --- _id: '12575' abstract: - lang: eng text: The current Chilean megadrought has led to acute water shortages in central Chile since 2010. Glaciers have provided vital fresh water to the region's rivers, but the quantity, timing and sustainability of that provision remain unclear. Here we combine in-situ, remote sensing and climate reanalysis data to show that from 2010 to 2018 during the megadrought, unsustainable imbalance ablation of glaciers (ablation not balanced by new snowfall) strongly buffered the late-summer discharge of the Maipo River, a primary source of water to Santiago. If there had been no glaciers, water availability would have been reduced from December through May, with a 31 ± 19% decrease during March. Our results indicate that while the annual contributions of imbalance ablation to river discharge during the megadrought have been small compared to those from precipitation and sustainable balance ablation, they have nevertheless been a substantial input to a hydrological system that was already experiencing high water stress. The water-equivalent volume of imbalance ablation generated in the Maipo Basin between 2010 and 2018 was 740 × 106 m3 (19 ± 12 mm yr−1), approximately 3.4 times the capacity of the basin's El Yeso Reservoir. This is equivalent to 14% of Santiago's potable water use in that time, while total glacier ablation was equivalent to 59%. We show that glacier retreat will exacerbate river discharge deficits and further jeopardize water availability in central Chile if precipitation deficits endure, and conjecture that these effects will be amplified by climatic warming. article_number: e2022EF002852 article_processing_charge: No article_type: original author: - first_name: Michael full_name: McCarthy, Michael last_name: McCarthy - first_name: Fabienne full_name: Meier, Fabienne last_name: Meier - first_name: Simone full_name: Fatichi, Simone last_name: Fatichi - first_name: Benjamin D. full_name: Stocker, Benjamin D. last_name: Stocker - first_name: Thomas E. full_name: Shaw, Thomas E. last_name: Shaw - first_name: Evan full_name: Miles, Evan last_name: Miles - first_name: Inés full_name: Dussaillant, Inés last_name: Dussaillant - first_name: Francesca full_name: Pellicciotti, Francesca id: b28f055a-81ea-11ed-b70c-a9fe7f7b0e70 last_name: Pellicciotti citation: ama: McCarthy M, Meier F, Fatichi S, et al. Glacier contributions to river discharge during the current Chilean megadrought. Earth’s Future. 2022;10(10). doi:10.1029/2022ef002852 apa: McCarthy, M., Meier, F., Fatichi, S., Stocker, B. D., Shaw, T. E., Miles, E., … Pellicciotti, F. (2022). Glacier contributions to river discharge during the current Chilean megadrought. Earth’s Future. American Geophysical Union. https://doi.org/10.1029/2022ef002852 chicago: McCarthy, Michael, Fabienne Meier, Simone Fatichi, Benjamin D. Stocker, Thomas E. Shaw, Evan Miles, Inés Dussaillant, and Francesca Pellicciotti. “Glacier Contributions to River Discharge during the Current Chilean Megadrought.” Earth’s Future. American Geophysical Union, 2022. https://doi.org/10.1029/2022ef002852. ieee: M. McCarthy et al., “Glacier contributions to river discharge during the current Chilean megadrought,” Earth’s Future, vol. 10, no. 10. American Geophysical Union, 2022. ista: McCarthy M, Meier F, Fatichi S, Stocker BD, Shaw TE, Miles E, Dussaillant I, Pellicciotti F. 2022. Glacier contributions to river discharge during the current Chilean megadrought. Earth’s Future. 10(10), e2022EF002852. mla: McCarthy, Michael, et al. “Glacier Contributions to River Discharge during the Current Chilean Megadrought.” Earth’s Future, vol. 10, no. 10, e2022EF002852, American Geophysical Union, 2022, doi:10.1029/2022ef002852. short: M. McCarthy, F. Meier, S. Fatichi, B.D. Stocker, T.E. Shaw, E. Miles, I. Dussaillant, F. Pellicciotti, Earth’s Future 10 (2022). date_created: 2023-02-20T08:09:49Z date_published: 2022-10-01T00:00:00Z date_updated: 2023-02-28T13:55:32Z day: '01' doi: 10.1029/2022ef002852 extern: '1' intvolume: ' 10' issue: '10' keyword: - Earth and Planetary Sciences (miscellaneous) - General Environmental Science language: - iso: eng main_file_link: - open_access: '1' url: https://doi.org/10.1029/2022EF002852 month: '10' oa: 1 oa_version: Published Version publication: Earth's Future publication_identifier: issn: - 2328-4277 publication_status: published publisher: American Geophysical Union quality_controlled: '1' scopus_import: '1' status: public title: Glacier contributions to river discharge during the current Chilean megadrought type: journal_article user_id: 2DF688A6-F248-11E8-B48F-1D18A9856A87 volume: 10 year: '2022' ... --- _id: '12573' abstract: - lang: eng text: Supraglacial debris strongly modulates glacier melt rates and can be decisive for ice dynamics and mountain hydrology. It is ubiquitous in High-Mountain Asia, yet because its thickness and supply rate from local topography are poorly known, our ability to forecast regional glacier change and streamflow is limited. Here we combined remote sensing and numerical modelling to resolve supraglacial debris thickness by altitude for 4689 glaciers in High-Mountain Asia, and debris-supply rate to 4141 of those glaciers. Our results reveal extensively thin supraglacial debris and high spatial variability in both debris thickness and supply rate. Debris-supply rate increases with the temperature and slope of debris-supply slopes regionally, and debris thickness increases as ice flow decreases locally. Our centennial-scale estimates of debris-supply rate are typically an order of magnitude or more lower than millennial-scale estimates of headwall-erosion rate from Beryllium-10 cosmogenic nuclides, potentially reflecting episodic debris supply to the region’s glaciers. article_number: '269' article_processing_charge: No article_type: original author: - first_name: Michael full_name: McCarthy, Michael last_name: McCarthy - first_name: Evan full_name: Miles, Evan last_name: Miles - first_name: Marin full_name: Kneib, Marin last_name: Kneib - first_name: Pascal full_name: Buri, Pascal last_name: Buri - first_name: Stefan full_name: Fugger, Stefan last_name: Fugger - first_name: Francesca full_name: Pellicciotti, Francesca id: b28f055a-81ea-11ed-b70c-a9fe7f7b0e70 last_name: Pellicciotti citation: ama: McCarthy M, Miles E, Kneib M, Buri P, Fugger S, Pellicciotti F. Supraglacial debris thickness and supply rate in High-Mountain Asia. Communications Earth & Environment. 2022;3. doi:10.1038/s43247-022-00588-2 apa: McCarthy, M., Miles, E., Kneib, M., Buri, P., Fugger, S., & Pellicciotti, F. (2022). Supraglacial debris thickness and supply rate in High-Mountain Asia. Communications Earth & Environment. Springer Nature. https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-022-00588-2 chicago: McCarthy, Michael, Evan Miles, Marin Kneib, Pascal Buri, Stefan Fugger, and Francesca Pellicciotti. “Supraglacial Debris Thickness and Supply Rate in High-Mountain Asia.” Communications Earth & Environment. Springer Nature, 2022. https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-022-00588-2. ieee: M. McCarthy, E. Miles, M. Kneib, P. Buri, S. Fugger, and F. Pellicciotti, “Supraglacial debris thickness and supply rate in High-Mountain Asia,” Communications Earth & Environment, vol. 3. Springer Nature, 2022. ista: McCarthy M, Miles E, Kneib M, Buri P, Fugger S, Pellicciotti F. 2022. Supraglacial debris thickness and supply rate in High-Mountain Asia. Communications Earth & Environment. 3, 269. mla: McCarthy, Michael, et al. “Supraglacial Debris Thickness and Supply Rate in High-Mountain Asia.” Communications Earth & Environment, vol. 3, 269, Springer Nature, 2022, doi:10.1038/s43247-022-00588-2. short: M. McCarthy, E. Miles, M. Kneib, P. Buri, S. Fugger, F. Pellicciotti, Communications Earth & Environment 3 (2022). date_created: 2023-02-20T08:09:27Z date_published: 2022-11-05T00:00:00Z date_updated: 2023-02-28T14:02:22Z day: '05' doi: 10.1038/s43247-022-00588-2 extern: '1' intvolume: ' 3' keyword: - General Earth and Planetary Sciences - General Environmental Science language: - iso: eng main_file_link: - open_access: '1' url: https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-022-00588-2 month: '11' oa: 1 oa_version: Published Version publication: Communications Earth & Environment publication_identifier: issn: - 2662-4435 publication_status: published publisher: Springer Nature quality_controlled: '1' scopus_import: '1' status: public title: Supraglacial debris thickness and supply rate in High-Mountain Asia type: journal_article user_id: 2DF688A6-F248-11E8-B48F-1D18A9856A87 volume: 3 year: '2022' ... --- _id: '11447' abstract: - lang: eng text: Empirical essays of fitness landscapes suggest that they may be rugged, that is having multiple fitness peaks. Such fitness landscapes, those that have multiple peaks, necessarily have special local structures, called reciprocal sign epistasis (Poelwijk et al. in J Theor Biol 272:141–144, 2011). Here, we investigate the quantitative relationship between the number of fitness peaks and the number of reciprocal sign epistatic interactions. Previously, it has been shown (Poelwijk et al. in J Theor Biol 272:141–144, 2011) that pairwise reciprocal sign epistasis is a necessary but not sufficient condition for the existence of multiple peaks. Applying discrete Morse theory, which to our knowledge has never been used in this context, we extend this result by giving the minimal number of reciprocal sign epistatic interactions required to create a given number of peaks. acknowledgement: We are grateful to Herbert Edelsbrunner and Jeferson Zapata for helpful discussions. Open access funding provided by Austrian Science Fund (FWF). Partially supported by the ERC Consolidator (771209–CharFL) and the FWF Austrian Science Fund (I5127-B) grants to FAK. article_number: '74' article_processing_charge: Yes (via OA deal) article_type: original author: - first_name: Raimundo J full_name: Saona Urmeneta, Raimundo J id: BD1DF4C4-D767-11E9-B658-BC13E6697425 last_name: Saona Urmeneta orcid: 0000-0001-5103-038X - first_name: Fyodor full_name: Kondrashov, Fyodor id: 44FDEF62-F248-11E8-B48F-1D18A9856A87 last_name: Kondrashov orcid: 0000-0001-8243-4694 - first_name: Kseniia full_name: Khudiakova, Kseniia id: 4E6DC800-AE37-11E9-AC72-31CAE5697425 last_name: Khudiakova orcid: 0000-0002-6246-1465 citation: ama: Saona Urmeneta RJ, Kondrashov F, Khudiakova K. Relation between the number of peaks and the number of reciprocal sign epistatic interactions. Bulletin of Mathematical Biology. 2022;84(8). doi:10.1007/s11538-022-01029-z apa: Saona Urmeneta, R. J., Kondrashov, F., & Khudiakova, K. (2022). Relation between the number of peaks and the number of reciprocal sign epistatic interactions. Bulletin of Mathematical Biology. Springer Nature. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11538-022-01029-z chicago: Saona Urmeneta, Raimundo J, Fyodor Kondrashov, and Kseniia Khudiakova. “Relation between the Number of Peaks and the Number of Reciprocal Sign Epistatic Interactions.” Bulletin of Mathematical Biology. Springer Nature, 2022. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11538-022-01029-z. ieee: R. J. Saona Urmeneta, F. Kondrashov, and K. Khudiakova, “Relation between the number of peaks and the number of reciprocal sign epistatic interactions,” Bulletin of Mathematical Biology, vol. 84, no. 8. Springer Nature, 2022. ista: Saona Urmeneta RJ, Kondrashov F, Khudiakova K. 2022. Relation between the number of peaks and the number of reciprocal sign epistatic interactions. Bulletin of Mathematical Biology. 84(8), 74. mla: Saona Urmeneta, Raimundo J., et al. “Relation between the Number of Peaks and the Number of Reciprocal Sign Epistatic Interactions.” Bulletin of Mathematical Biology, vol. 84, no. 8, 74, Springer Nature, 2022, doi:10.1007/s11538-022-01029-z. short: R.J. Saona Urmeneta, F. Kondrashov, K. Khudiakova, Bulletin of Mathematical Biology 84 (2022). date_created: 2022-06-17T16:16:15Z date_published: 2022-06-17T00:00:00Z date_updated: 2023-08-03T07:20:53Z day: '17' ddc: - '510' - '570' department: - _id: GradSch - _id: NiBa - _id: JaMa doi: 10.1007/s11538-022-01029-z ec_funded: 1 external_id: isi: - '000812509800001' file: - access_level: open_access checksum: 05a1fe7d10914a00c2bca9b447993a65 content_type: application/pdf creator: dernst date_created: 2022-06-20T07:51:32Z date_updated: 2022-06-20T07:51:32Z file_id: '11455' file_name: 2022_BulletinMathBiology_Saona.pdf file_size: 463025 relation: main_file success: 1 file_date_updated: 2022-06-20T07:51:32Z has_accepted_license: '1' intvolume: ' 84' isi: 1 issue: '8' keyword: - Computational Theory and Mathematics - General Agricultural and Biological Sciences - Pharmacology - General Environmental Science - General Biochemistry - Genetics and Molecular Biology - General Mathematics - Immunology - General Neuroscience language: - iso: eng month: '06' oa: 1 oa_version: Published Version project: - _id: 26580278-B435-11E9-9278-68D0E5697425 call_identifier: H2020 grant_number: '771209' name: Characterizing the fitness landscape on population and global scales - _id: c098eddd-5a5b-11eb-8a69-abe27170a68f grant_number: I05127 name: Evolutionary analysis of gene regulation publication: Bulletin of Mathematical Biology publication_identifier: eissn: - 1522-9602 issn: - 0092-8240 publication_status: published publisher: Springer Nature quality_controlled: '1' related_material: link: - relation: erratum url: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11538-022-01118-z scopus_import: '1' status: public title: Relation between the number of peaks and the number of reciprocal sign epistatic interactions tmp: image: /images/cc_by.png legal_code_url: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/legalcode name: Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International Public License (CC-BY 4.0) short: CC BY (4.0) type: journal_article user_id: 4359f0d1-fa6c-11eb-b949-802e58b17ae8 volume: 84 year: '2022' ... --- _id: '9128' abstract: - lang: eng text: This paper reviews recent important advances in our understanding of the response of precipitation extremes to warming from theory and from idealized cloud-resolving simulations. A theoretical scaling for precipitation extremes has been proposed and refined in the past decades, allowing to address separately the contributions from the thermodynamics, the dynamics and the microphysics. Theoretical constraints, as well as remaining uncertainties, associated with each of these three contributions to precipitation extremes, are discussed. Notably, although to leading order precipitation extremes seem to follow the thermodynamic theoretical expectation in idealized simulations, considerable uncertainty remains regarding the response of the dynamics and of the microphysics to warming, and considerable departure from this theoretical expectation is found in observations and in more realistic simulations. We also emphasize key outstanding questions, in particular the response of mesoscale convective organization to warming. Observations suggest that extreme rainfall often comes from an organized system in very moist environments. Improved understanding of the physical processes behind convective organization is needed in order to achieve accurate extreme rainfall prediction in our current, and in a warming climate. article_number: '035001' article_processing_charge: No article_type: letter_note author: - first_name: Caroline J full_name: Muller, Caroline J id: f978ccb0-3f7f-11eb-b193-b0e2bd13182b last_name: Muller orcid: 0000-0001-5836-5350 - first_name: Yukari full_name: Takayabu, Yukari last_name: Takayabu citation: ama: 'Muller CJ, Takayabu Y. Response of precipitation extremes to warming: What have we learned from theory and idealized cloud-resolving simulations, and what remains to be learned? Environmental Research Letters. 2020;15(3). doi:10.1088/1748-9326/ab7130' apa: 'Muller, C. J., & Takayabu, Y. (2020). Response of precipitation extremes to warming: What have we learned from theory and idealized cloud-resolving simulations, and what remains to be learned? Environmental Research Letters. IOP Publishing. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab7130' chicago: 'Muller, Caroline J, and Yukari Takayabu. “Response of Precipitation Extremes to Warming: What Have We Learned from Theory and Idealized Cloud-Resolving Simulations, and What Remains to Be Learned?” Environmental Research Letters. IOP Publishing, 2020. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab7130.' ieee: 'C. J. Muller and Y. Takayabu, “Response of precipitation extremes to warming: What have we learned from theory and idealized cloud-resolving simulations, and what remains to be learned?,” Environmental Research Letters, vol. 15, no. 3. IOP Publishing, 2020.' ista: 'Muller CJ, Takayabu Y. 2020. Response of precipitation extremes to warming: What have we learned from theory and idealized cloud-resolving simulations, and what remains to be learned? Environmental Research Letters. 15(3), 035001.' mla: 'Muller, Caroline J., and Yukari Takayabu. “Response of Precipitation Extremes to Warming: What Have We Learned from Theory and Idealized Cloud-Resolving Simulations, and What Remains to Be Learned?” Environmental Research Letters, vol. 15, no. 3, 035001, IOP Publishing, 2020, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/ab7130.' short: C.J. Muller, Y. Takayabu, Environmental Research Letters 15 (2020). date_created: 2021-02-15T14:07:14Z date_published: 2020-02-18T00:00:00Z date_updated: 2022-01-24T12:29:46Z day: '18' doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/ab7130 extern: '1' intvolume: ' 15' issue: '3' keyword: - Renewable Energy - Sustainability and the Environment - Public Health - Environmental and Occupational Health - General Environmental Science language: - iso: eng main_file_link: - open_access: '1' url: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab7130 month: '02' oa: 1 oa_version: Published Version publication: Environmental Research Letters publication_identifier: issn: - 1748-9326 publication_status: published publisher: IOP Publishing quality_controlled: '1' status: public title: 'Response of precipitation extremes to warming: What have we learned from theory and idealized cloud-resolving simulations, and what remains to be learned?' type: journal_article user_id: 8b945eb4-e2f2-11eb-945a-df72226e66a9 volume: 15 year: '2020' ... --- _id: '10794' abstract: - lang: eng text: Mathematical models are of fundamental importance in the understanding of complex population dynamics. For instance, they can be used to predict the population evolution starting from different initial conditions or to test how a system responds to external perturbations. For this analysis to be meaningful in real applications, however, it is of paramount importance to choose an appropriate model structure and to infer the model parameters from measured data. While many parameter inference methods are available for models based on deterministic ordinary differential equations, the same does not hold for more detailed individual-based models. Here we consider, in particular, stochastic models in which the time evolution of the species abundances is described by a continuous-time Markov chain. These models are governed by a master equation that is typically difficult to solve. Consequently, traditional inference methods that rely on iterative evaluation of parameter likelihoods are computationally intractable. The aim of this paper is to present recent advances in parameter inference for continuous-time Markov chain models, based on a moment closure approximation of the parameter likelihood, and to investigate how these results can help in understanding, and ultimately controlling, complex systems in ecology. Specifically, we illustrate through an agricultural pest case study how parameters of a stochastic individual-based model can be identified from measured data and how the resulting model can be used to solve an optimal control problem in a stochastic setting. In particular, we show how the matter of determining the optimal combination of two different pest control methods can be formulated as a chance constrained optimization problem where the control action is modeled as a state reset, leading to a hybrid system formulation. acknowledgement: "The authors would like to acknowledge contributions from Baptiste Mottet who performed preliminary analysis regarding parameter inference for the considered case study in a student project (Mottet, 2014/2015).\r\nThe research leading to these results has received funding from the People Programme (Marie Curie Actions) of the European Union's Seventh Framework Programme (FP7/2007-2013) under REA grant agreement No. [291734] and from SystemsX under the project SignalX." article_number: '42' article_processing_charge: No article_type: original author: - first_name: Francesca full_name: Parise, Francesca last_name: Parise - first_name: John full_name: Lygeros, John last_name: Lygeros - first_name: Jakob full_name: Ruess, Jakob id: 4A245D00-F248-11E8-B48F-1D18A9856A87 last_name: Ruess orcid: 0000-0003-1615-3282 citation: ama: 'Parise F, Lygeros J, Ruess J. Bayesian inference for stochastic individual-based models of ecological systems: a pest control simulation study. Frontiers in Environmental Science. 2015;3. doi:10.3389/fenvs.2015.00042' apa: 'Parise, F., Lygeros, J., & Ruess, J. (2015). Bayesian inference for stochastic individual-based models of ecological systems: a pest control simulation study. Frontiers in Environmental Science. Frontiers. https://doi.org/10.3389/fenvs.2015.00042' chicago: 'Parise, Francesca, John Lygeros, and Jakob Ruess. “Bayesian Inference for Stochastic Individual-Based Models of Ecological Systems: A Pest Control Simulation Study.” Frontiers in Environmental Science. Frontiers, 2015. https://doi.org/10.3389/fenvs.2015.00042.' ieee: 'F. Parise, J. Lygeros, and J. Ruess, “Bayesian inference for stochastic individual-based models of ecological systems: a pest control simulation study,” Frontiers in Environmental Science, vol. 3. Frontiers, 2015.' ista: 'Parise F, Lygeros J, Ruess J. 2015. Bayesian inference for stochastic individual-based models of ecological systems: a pest control simulation study. Frontiers in Environmental Science. 3, 42.' mla: 'Parise, Francesca, et al. “Bayesian Inference for Stochastic Individual-Based Models of Ecological Systems: A Pest Control Simulation Study.” Frontiers in Environmental Science, vol. 3, 42, Frontiers, 2015, doi:10.3389/fenvs.2015.00042.' short: F. Parise, J. Lygeros, J. Ruess, Frontiers in Environmental Science 3 (2015). date_created: 2022-02-25T11:42:25Z date_published: 2015-06-10T00:00:00Z date_updated: 2022-02-25T11:59:23Z day: '10' ddc: - '000' - '570' department: - _id: ToHe - _id: GaTk doi: 10.3389/fenvs.2015.00042 ec_funded: 1 file: - access_level: open_access checksum: 26c222487564e1be02a11d688d6f769d content_type: application/pdf creator: dernst date_created: 2022-02-25T11:55:26Z date_updated: 2022-02-25T11:55:26Z file_id: '10795' file_name: 2015_FrontiersEnvironmScience_Parise.pdf file_size: 1371201 relation: main_file success: 1 file_date_updated: 2022-02-25T11:55:26Z has_accepted_license: '1' intvolume: ' 3' keyword: - General Environmental Science language: - iso: eng month: '06' oa: 1 oa_version: Published Version project: - _id: 25681D80-B435-11E9-9278-68D0E5697425 call_identifier: FP7 grant_number: '291734' name: International IST Postdoc Fellowship Programme publication: Frontiers in Environmental Science publication_identifier: issn: - 2296-665X publication_status: published publisher: Frontiers quality_controlled: '1' scopus_import: '1' status: public title: 'Bayesian inference for stochastic individual-based models of ecological systems: a pest control simulation study' tmp: image: /images/cc_by.png legal_code_url: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/legalcode name: Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International Public License (CC-BY 4.0) short: CC BY (4.0) type: journal_article user_id: 2DF688A6-F248-11E8-B48F-1D18A9856A87 volume: 3 year: '2015' ... --- _id: '12638' abstract: - lang: eng text: Central Asian water resources largely depend on melt water generated in the Pamir and Tien Shan mountain ranges. To estimate future water availability in this region, it is necessary to use climate projections to estimate the future glacier extent and volume. In this study, we evaluate the impact of uncertainty in climate change projections on the future glacier extent in the Amu and Syr Darya river basins. To this end we use the latest climate change projections generated for the upcoming IPCC report (CMIP5) and, for comparison, projections used in the fourth IPCC assessment (CMIP3). With these projections we force a regionalized glacier mass balance model, and estimate changes in the basins' glacier extent as a function of the glacier size distribution in the basins and projected temperature and precipitation. This glacier mass balance model is specifically developed for implementation in large scale hydrological models, where the spatial resolution does not allow for simulating individual glaciers and data scarcity is an issue. Although the CMIP5 ensemble results in greater regional warming than the CMIP3 ensemble and the range in projections for temperature as well as precipitation is wider for the CMIP5 than for the CMIP3, the spread in projections of future glacier extent in Central Asia is similar for both ensembles. This is because differences in temperature rise are small during periods of maximum melt (July–September) while differences in precipitation change are small during the period of maximum accumulation (October–February). However, the model uncertainty due to parameter uncertainty is high, and has roughly the same importance as uncertainty in the climate projections. Uncertainty about the size of the decline in glacier extent remains large, making estimates of future Central Asian glacier evolution and downstream water availability uncertain. article_processing_charge: No article_type: original author: - first_name: A. F. full_name: Lutz, A. F. last_name: Lutz - first_name: W. W. full_name: Immerzeel, W. W. last_name: Immerzeel - first_name: A. full_name: Gobiet, A. last_name: Gobiet - first_name: Francesca full_name: Pellicciotti, Francesca id: b28f055a-81ea-11ed-b70c-a9fe7f7b0e70 last_name: Pellicciotti - first_name: M. F. P. full_name: Bierkens, M. F. P. last_name: Bierkens citation: ama: Lutz AF, Immerzeel WW, Gobiet A, Pellicciotti F, Bierkens MFP. Comparison of climate change signals in CMIP3 and CMIP5 multi-model ensembles and implications for Central Asian glaciers. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences. 2013;17(9):3661-3677. doi:10.5194/hess-17-3661-2013 apa: Lutz, A. F., Immerzeel, W. W., Gobiet, A., Pellicciotti, F., & Bierkens, M. F. P. (2013). Comparison of climate change signals in CMIP3 and CMIP5 multi-model ensembles and implications for Central Asian glaciers. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences. Copernicus GmbH. https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-17-3661-2013 chicago: Lutz, A. F., W. W. Immerzeel, A. Gobiet, Francesca Pellicciotti, and M. F. P. Bierkens. “Comparison of Climate Change Signals in CMIP3 and CMIP5 Multi-Model Ensembles and Implications for Central Asian Glaciers.” Hydrology and Earth System Sciences. Copernicus GmbH, 2013. https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-17-3661-2013. ieee: A. F. Lutz, W. W. Immerzeel, A. Gobiet, F. Pellicciotti, and M. F. P. Bierkens, “Comparison of climate change signals in CMIP3 and CMIP5 multi-model ensembles and implications for Central Asian glaciers,” Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, vol. 17, no. 9. Copernicus GmbH, pp. 3661–3677, 2013. ista: Lutz AF, Immerzeel WW, Gobiet A, Pellicciotti F, Bierkens MFP. 2013. Comparison of climate change signals in CMIP3 and CMIP5 multi-model ensembles and implications for Central Asian glaciers. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences. 17(9), 3661–3677. mla: Lutz, A. F., et al. “Comparison of Climate Change Signals in CMIP3 and CMIP5 Multi-Model Ensembles and Implications for Central Asian Glaciers.” Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, vol. 17, no. 9, Copernicus GmbH, 2013, pp. 3661–77, doi:10.5194/hess-17-3661-2013. short: A.F. Lutz, W.W. Immerzeel, A. Gobiet, F. Pellicciotti, M.F.P. Bierkens, Hydrology and Earth System Sciences 17 (2013) 3661–3677. date_created: 2023-02-20T08:17:05Z date_published: 2013-09-01T00:00:00Z date_updated: 2023-02-24T08:19:48Z day: '01' doi: 10.5194/hess-17-3661-2013 extern: '1' intvolume: ' 17' issue: '9' keyword: - General Earth and Planetary Sciences - General Engineering - General Environmental Science language: - iso: eng main_file_link: - open_access: '1' url: https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-17-3661-2013 month: '09' oa: 1 oa_version: Published Version page: 3661-3677 publication: Hydrology and Earth System Sciences publication_identifier: issn: - 1607-7938 publication_status: published publisher: Copernicus GmbH quality_controlled: '1' scopus_import: '1' status: public title: Comparison of climate change signals in CMIP3 and CMIP5 multi-model ensembles and implications for Central Asian glaciers type: journal_article user_id: 2DF688A6-F248-11E8-B48F-1D18A9856A87 volume: 17 year: '2013' ... --- _id: '12647' abstract: - lang: eng text: Accurate quantification of the spatial distribution of precipitation in mountain regions is crucial for assessments of water resources and for the understanding of high-altitude hydrology, yet it is one of the largest unknowns due to the lack of high-altitude observations. The Hunza basin in Pakistan contains very large glacier systems, which, given the melt, cannot persist unless precipitation (snow input) is much higher than what is observed at the meteorological stations, mostly located in mountain valleys. Several studies, therefore, suggest strong positive vertical precipitation lapse rates; in the present study, we quantify this lapse rate by using glaciers as a proxy. We assume a neutral mass balance for the glaciers for the period from 2001 to 2003, and we inversely model the precipitation lapse by balancing the total accumulation in the catchment area and the ablation over the glacier area for the 50 largest glacier systems in the Hunza basin in the Karakoram. Our results reveal a vertical precipitation lapse rate that equals 0.21 ± 0.12% m−1, with a maximum precipitation at an elevation of 5500 masl. We showed that the total annual basin precipitation (828 mm) is 260% higher than what is estimated based on interpolated observations (319 mm); this has major consequences for hydrological modeling and water resource assessments in general. Our results were validated by using previously published studies on individual glaciers as well as the water balance of the Hunza basin. The approach is more widely applicable in mountain ranges where precipitation measurements at high altitude are lacking. article_processing_charge: No article_type: original author: - first_name: Walter Willem full_name: Immerzeel, Walter Willem last_name: Immerzeel - first_name: Francesca full_name: Pellicciotti, Francesca id: b28f055a-81ea-11ed-b70c-a9fe7f7b0e70 last_name: Pellicciotti - first_name: Arun B. full_name: Shrestha, Arun B. last_name: Shrestha citation: ama: Immerzeel WW, Pellicciotti F, Shrestha AB. Glaciers as a proxy to quantify the spatial distribution of precipitation in the Hunza basin. Mountain Research and Development. 2012;32(1):30-38. doi:10.1659/mrd-journal-d-11-00097.1 apa: Immerzeel, W. W., Pellicciotti, F., & Shrestha, A. B. (2012). Glaciers as a proxy to quantify the spatial distribution of precipitation in the Hunza basin. Mountain Research and Development. International Mountain Society. https://doi.org/10.1659/mrd-journal-d-11-00097.1 chicago: Immerzeel, Walter Willem, Francesca Pellicciotti, and Arun B. Shrestha. “Glaciers as a Proxy to Quantify the Spatial Distribution of Precipitation in the Hunza Basin.” Mountain Research and Development. International Mountain Society, 2012. https://doi.org/10.1659/mrd-journal-d-11-00097.1. ieee: W. W. Immerzeel, F. Pellicciotti, and A. B. Shrestha, “Glaciers as a proxy to quantify the spatial distribution of precipitation in the Hunza basin,” Mountain Research and Development, vol. 32, no. 1. International Mountain Society, pp. 30–38, 2012. ista: Immerzeel WW, Pellicciotti F, Shrestha AB. 2012. Glaciers as a proxy to quantify the spatial distribution of precipitation in the Hunza basin. Mountain Research and Development. 32(1), 30–38. mla: Immerzeel, Walter Willem, et al. “Glaciers as a Proxy to Quantify the Spatial Distribution of Precipitation in the Hunza Basin.” Mountain Research and Development, vol. 32, no. 1, International Mountain Society, 2012, pp. 30–38, doi:10.1659/mrd-journal-d-11-00097.1. short: W.W. Immerzeel, F. Pellicciotti, A.B. Shrestha, Mountain Research and Development 32 (2012) 30–38. date_created: 2023-02-20T08:17:52Z date_published: 2012-02-01T00:00:00Z date_updated: 2023-02-21T08:56:29Z day: '01' doi: 10.1659/mrd-journal-d-11-00097.1 extern: '1' intvolume: ' 32' issue: '1' keyword: - General Environmental Science - Development - Environmental Chemistry language: - iso: eng main_file_link: - open_access: '1' url: https://doi.org/10.1659/MRD-JOURNAL-D-11-00097.1 month: '02' oa: 1 oa_version: Published Version page: 30-38 publication: Mountain Research and Development publication_identifier: eissn: - 1994-7151 issn: - 0276-4741 publication_status: published publisher: International Mountain Society quality_controlled: '1' scopus_import: '1' status: public title: Glaciers as a proxy to quantify the spatial distribution of precipitation in the Hunza basin type: journal_article user_id: 2DF688A6-F248-11E8-B48F-1D18A9856A87 volume: 32 year: '2012' ... --- _id: '9146' abstract: - lang: eng text: "The factors governing the rate of change in the amount of atmospheric water vapor are analyzed in simulations of climate change. The global-mean amount of water vapor is estimated to increase at a differential rate of 7.3% K − 1 with respect to global-mean surface air temperature in the multi-model mean. Larger rates of change result if the fractional change is evaluated over a finite change in temperature (e.g., 8.2% K − 1 for a 3 K warming), and rates of change of zonal-mean column water vapor range from 6 to 12% K − 1 depending on latitude.\r\nClausius–Clapeyron scaling is directly evaluated using an invariant distribution of monthly-mean relative humidity, giving a rate of 7.4% K − 1 for global-mean water vapor. There are deviations from Clausius–Clapeyron scaling of zonal-mean column water vapor in the tropics and mid-latitudes, but they largely cancel in the global mean. A purely thermodynamic scaling based on a saturated troposphere gives a higher global rate of 7.9% K − 1.\r\nSurface specific humidity increases at a rate of 5.7% K − 1, considerably lower than the rate for global-mean water vapor. Surface specific humidity closely follows Clausius–Clapeyron scaling over ocean. But there are widespread decreases in surface relative humidity over land (by more than 1% K − 1 in many regions), and it is argued that decreases of this magnitude could result from the land/ocean contrast in surface warming." article_number: '025207' article_processing_charge: No article_type: original author: - first_name: P A full_name: O’Gorman, P A last_name: O’Gorman - first_name: Caroline J full_name: Muller, Caroline J id: f978ccb0-3f7f-11eb-b193-b0e2bd13182b last_name: Muller orcid: 0000-0001-5836-5350 citation: ama: O’Gorman PA, Muller CJ. How closely do changes in surface and column water vapor follow Clausius–Clapeyron scaling in climate change simulations? Environmental Research Letters. 2010;5(2). doi:10.1088/1748-9326/5/2/025207 apa: O’Gorman, P. A., & Muller, C. J. (2010). How closely do changes in surface and column water vapor follow Clausius–Clapeyron scaling in climate change simulations? Environmental Research Letters. IOP Publishing. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/5/2/025207 chicago: O’Gorman, P A, and Caroline J Muller. “How Closely Do Changes in Surface and Column Water Vapor Follow Clausius–Clapeyron Scaling in Climate Change Simulations?” Environmental Research Letters. IOP Publishing, 2010. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/5/2/025207. ieee: P. A. O’Gorman and C. J. Muller, “How closely do changes in surface and column water vapor follow Clausius–Clapeyron scaling in climate change simulations?,” Environmental Research Letters, vol. 5, no. 2. IOP Publishing, 2010. ista: O’Gorman PA, Muller CJ. 2010. How closely do changes in surface and column water vapor follow Clausius–Clapeyron scaling in climate change simulations? Environmental Research Letters. 5(2), 025207. mla: O’Gorman, P. A., and Caroline J. Muller. “How Closely Do Changes in Surface and Column Water Vapor Follow Clausius–Clapeyron Scaling in Climate Change Simulations?” Environmental Research Letters, vol. 5, no. 2, 025207, IOP Publishing, 2010, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/5/2/025207. short: P.A. O’Gorman, C.J. Muller, Environmental Research Letters 5 (2010). date_created: 2021-02-15T14:40:46Z date_published: 2010-04-09T00:00:00Z date_updated: 2022-01-24T13:51:02Z day: '09' doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/5/2/025207 extern: '1' intvolume: ' 5' issue: '2' keyword: - Renewable Energy - Sustainability and the Environment - Public Health - Environmental and Occupational Health - General Environmental Science language: - iso: eng main_file_link: - open_access: '1' url: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/5/2/025207 month: '04' oa: 1 oa_version: Published Version publication: Environmental Research Letters publication_identifier: issn: - 1748-9326 publication_status: published publisher: IOP Publishing quality_controlled: '1' status: public title: How closely do changes in surface and column water vapor follow Clausius–Clapeyron scaling in climate change simulations? type: journal_article user_id: 8b945eb4-e2f2-11eb-945a-df72226e66a9 volume: 5 year: '2010' ...