---
_id: '8741'
abstract:
- lang: eng
text: "In ecology, climate and other fields, (sub)systems have been identified that
can transition into a qualitatively different state when a critical threshold
or tipping point in a driving process is crossed. An understanding of those tipping
elements is of great interest given the increasing influence of humans on the
biophysical Earth system. Complex interactions exist between tipping elements,
e.g. physical mechanisms connect subsystems of the climate system. Based on earlier
work on such coupled nonlinear systems, we systematically assessed the qualitative
long-term behaviour of interacting tipping elements. We developed an understanding
of the consequences of interactions\r\non the tipping behaviour allowing for tipping
cascades to emerge under certain conditions. The (narrative) application of\r\nthese
qualitative results to real-world examples of interacting tipping elements indicates
that tipping cascades with profound consequences may occur: the interacting Greenland
ice sheet and thermohaline ocean circulation might tip before the tipping points
of the isolated subsystems are crossed. The eutrophication of the first lake in
a lake chain might propagate through the following lakes without a crossing of
their individual critical nutrient input levels. The possibility of emerging cascading
tipping dynamics calls for the development of a unified theory of interacting
tipping elements and the quantitative analysis of interacting real-world tipping
elements."
acknowledgement: "V.K. thanks the German National Academic Foundation (Studienstiftung
des deutschen Volkes) for financial\r\nsupport. J.F.D. is grateful for financial
support by the Stordalen Foundation via the Planetary Boundary Research\r\nNetwork
(PB.net), the Earth League’s EarthDoc program and the European Research Council
Advanced Grant\r\nproject ERA (Earth Resilience in the Anthropocene). We are thankful
for support by the Leibniz Association\r\n(project DominoES).\r\nAcknowledgements.
This work has been performed in the context of the copan collaboration and the FutureLab
on Earth\r\nResilience in the Anthropocene at the Potsdam Institute for Climate
Impact Research. Furthermore, we acknowledge\r\ndiscussions with and helpful comments
by N. Wunderling, J. Heitzig and M. Wiedermann."
article_number: '200599'
article_processing_charge: No
article_type: original
author:
- first_name: Ann Kristin
full_name: Klose, Ann Kristin
last_name: Klose
- first_name: Volker
full_name: Karle, Volker
id: D7C012AE-D7ED-11E9-95E8-1EC5E5697425
last_name: Karle
orcid: 0000-0002-6963-0129
- first_name: Ricarda
full_name: Winkelmann, Ricarda
last_name: Winkelmann
- first_name: Jonathan F.
full_name: Donges, Jonathan F.
last_name: Donges
citation:
ama: 'Klose AK, Karle V, Winkelmann R, Donges JF. Emergence of cascading dynamics
in interacting tipping elements of ecology and climate: Cascading dynamics in
tipping elements. Royal Society Open Science. 2020;7(6). doi:10.1098/rsos.200599'
apa: 'Klose, A. K., Karle, V., Winkelmann, R., & Donges, J. F. (2020). Emergence
of cascading dynamics in interacting tipping elements of ecology and climate:
Cascading dynamics in tipping elements. Royal Society Open Science. The
Royal Society. https://doi.org/10.1098/rsos.200599'
chicago: 'Klose, Ann Kristin, Volker Karle, Ricarda Winkelmann, and Jonathan F.
Donges. “Emergence of Cascading Dynamics in Interacting Tipping Elements of Ecology
and Climate: Cascading Dynamics in Tipping Elements.” Royal Society Open Science.
The Royal Society, 2020. https://doi.org/10.1098/rsos.200599.'
ieee: 'A. K. Klose, V. Karle, R. Winkelmann, and J. F. Donges, “Emergence of cascading
dynamics in interacting tipping elements of ecology and climate: Cascading dynamics
in tipping elements,” Royal Society Open Science, vol. 7, no. 6. The Royal
Society, 2020.'
ista: 'Klose AK, Karle V, Winkelmann R, Donges JF. 2020. Emergence of cascading
dynamics in interacting tipping elements of ecology and climate: Cascading dynamics
in tipping elements. Royal Society Open Science. 7(6), 200599.'
mla: 'Klose, Ann Kristin, et al. “Emergence of Cascading Dynamics in Interacting
Tipping Elements of Ecology and Climate: Cascading Dynamics in Tipping Elements.”
Royal Society Open Science, vol. 7, no. 6, 200599, The Royal Society, 2020,
doi:10.1098/rsos.200599.'
short: A.K. Klose, V. Karle, R. Winkelmann, J.F. Donges, Royal Society Open Science
7 (2020).
date_created: 2020-11-08T23:01:25Z
date_published: 2020-06-01T00:00:00Z
date_updated: 2024-03-12T12:31:30Z
day: '01'
ddc:
- '530'
- '550'
department:
- _id: MiLe
doi: 10.1098/rsos.200599
external_id:
arxiv:
- '1910.12042'
isi:
- '000545625200001'
file:
- access_level: open_access
checksum: 5505c445de373bfd836eb4d3b48b1f37
content_type: application/pdf
creator: dernst
date_created: 2020-11-09T09:07:11Z
date_updated: 2020-11-09T09:07:11Z
file_id: '8748'
file_name: 2020_RoyalSocOpenScience_Klose.pdf
file_size: 1611485
relation: main_file
success: 1
file_date_updated: 2020-11-09T09:07:11Z
has_accepted_license: '1'
intvolume: ' 7'
isi: 1
issue: '6'
language:
- iso: eng
license: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
month: '06'
oa: 1
oa_version: Published Version
publication: Royal Society Open Science
publication_identifier:
eissn:
- '20545703'
publication_status: published
publisher: The Royal Society
quality_controlled: '1'
scopus_import: '1'
status: public
title: 'Emergence of cascading dynamics in interacting tipping elements of ecology
and climate: Cascading dynamics in tipping elements'
tmp:
image: /images/cc_by.png
legal_code_url: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/legalcode
name: Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International Public License (CC-BY 4.0)
short: CC BY (4.0)
type: journal_article
user_id: 2DF688A6-F248-11E8-B48F-1D18A9856A87
volume: 7
year: '2020'
...