---
_id: '8597'
abstract:
- lang: eng
text: Error analysis and data visualization of positive COVID-19 cases in 27 countries
have been performed up to August 8, 2020. This survey generally observes a progression
from early exponential growth transitioning to an intermediate power-law growth
phase, as recently suggested by Ziff and Ziff. The occurrence of logistic growth
after the power-law phase with lockdowns or social distancing may be described
as an effect of avoidance. A visualization of the power-law growth exponent over
short time windows is qualitatively similar to the Bhatia visualization for pandemic
progression. Visualizations like these can indicate the onset of second waves
and may influence social policy.
acknowledgement: I would especially like to thank Michael Sixt for encouraging me
to think about these problems while working at home due to restrictions in place.
I want to thank Nick Barton, Katka Bodova, Matthew Robinson, Simon Rella, Federico
Sau, Ivan Prieto, and Pradeep Kumar for useful discussions.
article_number: '065005'
article_processing_charge: Yes (via OA deal)
article_type: original
author:
- first_name: Jack
full_name: Merrin, Jack
id: 4515C308-F248-11E8-B48F-1D18A9856A87
last_name: Merrin
orcid: 0000-0001-5145-4609
citation:
ama: Merrin J. Differences in power law growth over time and indicators of COVID-19
pandemic progression worldwide. Physical Biology. 2020;17(6). doi:10.1088/1478-3975/abb2db
apa: Merrin, J. (2020). Differences in power law growth over time and indicators
of COVID-19 pandemic progression worldwide. Physical Biology. IOP Publishing.
https://doi.org/10.1088/1478-3975/abb2db
chicago: Merrin, Jack. “Differences in Power Law Growth over Time and Indicators
of COVID-19 Pandemic Progression Worldwide.” Physical Biology. IOP Publishing,
2020. https://doi.org/10.1088/1478-3975/abb2db.
ieee: J. Merrin, “Differences in power law growth over time and indicators of COVID-19
pandemic progression worldwide,” Physical Biology, vol. 17, no. 6. IOP
Publishing, 2020.
ista: Merrin J. 2020. Differences in power law growth over time and indicators of
COVID-19 pandemic progression worldwide. Physical Biology. 17(6), 065005.
mla: Merrin, Jack. “Differences in Power Law Growth over Time and Indicators of
COVID-19 Pandemic Progression Worldwide.” Physical Biology, vol. 17, no.
6, 065005, IOP Publishing, 2020, doi:10.1088/1478-3975/abb2db.
short: J. Merrin, Physical Biology 17 (2020).
date_created: 2020-10-04T22:01:35Z
date_published: 2020-09-23T00:00:00Z
date_updated: 2023-08-22T09:53:29Z
day: '23'
ddc:
- '510'
- '570'
department:
- _id: NanoFab
doi: 10.1088/1478-3975/abb2db
external_id:
isi:
- '000575539700001'
file:
- access_level: open_access
checksum: fec9bdd355ed349f09990faab20838a7
content_type: application/pdf
creator: dernst
date_created: 2020-10-05T13:53:59Z
date_updated: 2020-10-05T13:53:59Z
file_id: '8609'
file_name: 2020_PhysBio_Merrin.pdf
file_size: 1667111
relation: main_file
success: 1
file_date_updated: 2020-10-05T13:53:59Z
has_accepted_license: '1'
intvolume: ' 17'
isi: 1
issue: '6'
language:
- iso: eng
month: '09'
oa: 1
oa_version: Published Version
publication: Physical Biology
publication_identifier:
eissn:
- '14783975'
publication_status: published
publisher: IOP Publishing
quality_controlled: '1'
scopus_import: '1'
status: public
title: Differences in power law growth over time and indicators of COVID-19 pandemic
progression worldwide
tmp:
image: /images/cc_by.png
legal_code_url: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/legalcode
name: Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International Public License (CC-BY 4.0)
short: CC BY (4.0)
type: journal_article
user_id: 4359f0d1-fa6c-11eb-b949-802e58b17ae8
volume: 17
year: '2020'
...