@misc{9851, abstract = {Based on the intuitive derivation of the dynamics of SIM allele frequency pM in the main text, we present a heuristic prediction for the long-term SIM allele frequencies with χ > 1 stresses and compare it to numerical simulations.}, author = {Lukacisinova, Marta and Novak, Sebastian and Paixao, Tiago}, publisher = {Public Library of Science}, title = {{Heuristic prediction for multiple stresses}}, doi = {10.1371/journal.pcbi.1005609.s003}, year = {2017}, } @misc{9852, abstract = {We show how different combination strategies affect the fraction of individuals that are multi-resistant.}, author = {Lukacisinova, Marta and Novak, Sebastian and Paixao, Tiago}, publisher = {Public Library of Science}, title = {{Resistance frequencies for different combination strategies}}, doi = {10.1371/journal.pcbi.1005609.s004}, year = {2017}, } @phdthesis{6291, abstract = {Bacteria and their pathogens – phages – are the most abundant living entities on Earth. Throughout their coevolution, bacteria have evolved multiple immune systems to overcome the ubiquitous threat from the phages. Although the molecu- lar details of these immune systems’ functions are relatively well understood, their epidemiological consequences for the phage-bacterial communities have been largely neglected. In this thesis we employed both experimental and theoretical methods to explore whether herd and social immunity may arise in bacterial popu- lations. Using our experimental system consisting of Escherichia coli strains with a CRISPR based immunity to the T7 phage we show that herd immunity arises in phage-bacterial communities and that it is accentuated when the populations are spatially structured. By fitting a mathematical model, we inferred expressions for the herd immunity threshold and the velocity of spread of a phage epidemic in partially resistant bacterial populations, which both depend on the bacterial growth rate, phage burst size and phage latent period. We also investigated the poten- tial for social immunity in Streptococcus thermophilus and its phage 2972 using a bioinformatic analysis of potentially coding short open reading frames with a signalling signature, encoded within the CRISPR associated genes. Subsequently, we tested one identified potentially signalling peptide and found that its addition to a phage-challenged culture increases probability of survival of bacteria two fold, although the results were only marginally significant. Together, these results demonstrate that the ubiquitous arms races between bacteria and phages have further consequences at the level of the population.}, author = {Payne, Pavel}, issn = {2663-337X}, pages = {83}, publisher = {Institute of Science and Technology Austria}, title = {{Bacterial herd and social immunity to phages}}, year = {2017}, } @misc{9842, abstract = {Mathematica notebooks used to generate figures.}, author = {Etheridge, Alison and Barton, Nicholas H}, publisher = {Mendeley Data}, title = {{Data for: Establishment in a new habitat by polygenic adaptation}}, doi = {10.17632/nw68fxzjpm.1}, year = {2017}, } @article{1351, abstract = {The behaviour of gene regulatory networks (GRNs) is typically analysed using simulation-based statistical testing-like methods. In this paper, we demonstrate that we can replace this approach by a formal verification-like method that gives higher assurance and scalability. We focus on Wagner’s weighted GRN model with varying weights, which is used in evolutionary biology. In the model, weight parameters represent the gene interaction strength that may change due to genetic mutations. For a property of interest, we synthesise the constraints over the parameter space that represent the set of GRNs satisfying the property. We experimentally show that our parameter synthesis procedure computes the mutational robustness of GRNs—an important problem of interest in evolutionary biology—more efficiently than the classical simulation method. We specify the property in linear temporal logic. We employ symbolic bounded model checking and SMT solving to compute the space of GRNs that satisfy the property, which amounts to synthesizing a set of linear constraints on the weights.}, author = {Giacobbe, Mirco and Guet, Calin C and Gupta, Ashutosh and Henzinger, Thomas A and Paixao, Tiago and Petrov, Tatjana}, issn = {00015903}, journal = {Acta Informatica}, number = {8}, pages = {765 -- 787}, publisher = {Springer}, title = {{Model checking the evolution of gene regulatory networks}}, doi = {10.1007/s00236-016-0278-x}, volume = {54}, year = {2017}, } @article{1336, abstract = {Evolutionary algorithms (EAs) form a popular optimisation paradigm inspired by natural evolution. In recent years the field of evolutionary computation has developed a rigorous analytical theory to analyse the runtimes of EAs on many illustrative problems. Here we apply this theory to a simple model of natural evolution. In the Strong Selection Weak Mutation (SSWM) evolutionary regime the time between occurrences of new mutations is much longer than the time it takes for a mutated genotype to take over the population. In this situation, the population only contains copies of one genotype and evolution can be modelled as a stochastic process evolving one genotype by means of mutation and selection between the resident and the mutated genotype. The probability of accepting the mutated genotype then depends on the change in fitness. We study this process, SSWM, from an algorithmic perspective, quantifying its expected optimisation time for various parameters and investigating differences to a similar evolutionary algorithm, the well-known (1+1) EA. We show that SSWM can have a moderate advantage over the (1+1) EA at crossing fitness valleys and study an example where SSWM outperforms the (1+1) EA by taking advantage of information on the fitness gradient.}, author = {Paixao, Tiago and Pérez Heredia, Jorge and Sudholt, Dirk and Trubenova, Barbora}, issn = {01784617}, journal = {Algorithmica}, number = {2}, pages = {681 -- 713}, publisher = {Springer}, title = {{Towards a runtime comparison of natural and artificial evolution}}, doi = {10.1007/s00453-016-0212-1}, volume = {78}, year = {2017}, } @article{1199, abstract = {Much of quantitative genetics is based on the ‘infinitesimal model’, under which selection has a negligible effect on the genetic variance. This is typically justified by assuming a very large number of loci with additive effects. However, it applies even when genes interact, provided that the number of loci is large enough that selection on each of them is weak relative to random drift. In the long term, directional selection will change allele frequencies, but even then, the effects of epistasis on the ultimate change in trait mean due to selection may be modest. Stabilising selection can maintain many traits close to their optima, even when the underlying alleles are weakly selected. However, the number of traits that can be optimised is apparently limited to ~4Ne by the ‘drift load’, and this is hard to reconcile with the apparent complexity of many organisms. Just as for the mutation load, this limit can be evaded by a particular form of negative epistasis. A more robust limit is set by the variance in reproductive success. This suggests that selection accumulates information most efficiently in the infinitesimal regime, when selection on individual alleles is weak, and comparable with random drift. A review of evidence on selection strength suggests that although most variance in fitness may be because of alleles with large Nes, substantial amounts of adaptation may be because of alleles in the infinitesimal regime, in which epistasis has modest effects.}, author = {Barton, Nicholas H}, journal = {Heredity}, pages = {96 -- 109}, publisher = {Nature Publishing Group}, title = {{How does epistasis influence the response to selection?}}, doi = {10.1038/hdy.2016.109}, volume = {118}, year = {2017}, } @article{1169, abstract = {Dispersal is a crucial factor in natural evolution, since it determines the habitat experienced by any population and defines the spatial scale of interactions between individuals. There is compelling evidence for systematic differences in dispersal characteristics within the same population, i.e., genotype-dependent dispersal. The consequences of genotype-dependent dispersal on other evolutionary phenomena, however, are poorly understood. In this article we investigate the effect of genotype-dependent dispersal on spatial gene frequency patterns, using a generalization of the classical diffusion model of selection and dispersal. Dispersal is characterized by the variance of dispersal (diffusion coefficient) and the mean displacement (directional advection term). We demonstrate that genotype-dependent dispersal may change the qualitative behavior of Fisher waves, which change from being “pulled” to being “pushed” wave fronts as the discrepancy in dispersal between genotypes increases. The speed of any wave is partitioned into components due to selection, genotype-dependent variance of dispersal, and genotype-dependent mean displacement. We apply our findings to wave fronts maintained by selection against heterozygotes. Furthermore, we identify a benefit of increased variance of dispersal, quantify its effect on the speed of the wave, and discuss the implications for the evolution of dispersal strategies.}, author = {Novak, Sebastian and Kollár, Richard}, issn = {00166731}, journal = {Genetics}, number = {1}, pages = {367 -- 374}, publisher = {Genetics Society of America}, title = {{Spatial gene frequency waves under genotype dependent dispersal}}, doi = {10.1534/genetics.116.193946}, volume = {205}, year = {2017}, } @article{1111, abstract = {Adaptation depends critically on the effects of new mutations and their dependency on the genetic background in which they occur. These two factors can be summarized by the fitness landscape. However, it would require testing all mutations in all backgrounds, making the definition and analysis of fitness landscapes mostly inaccessible. Instead of postulating a particular fitness landscape, we address this problem by considering general classes of landscapes and calculating an upper limit for the time it takes for a population to reach a fitness peak, circumventing the need to have full knowledge about the fitness landscape. We analyze populations in the weak-mutation regime and characterize the conditions that enable them to quickly reach the fitness peak as a function of the number of sites under selection. We show that for additive landscapes there is a critical selection strength enabling populations to reach high-fitness genotypes, regardless of the distribution of effects. This threshold scales with the number of sites under selection, effectively setting a limit to adaptation, and results from the inevitable increase in deleterious mutational pressure as the population adapts in a space of discrete genotypes. Furthermore, we show that for the class of all unimodal landscapes this condition is sufficient but not necessary for rapid adaptation, as in some highly epistatic landscapes the critical strength does not depend on the number of sites under selection; effectively removing this barrier to adaptation.}, author = {Heredia, Jorge and Trubenova, Barbora and Sudholt, Dirk and Paixao, Tiago}, issn = {00166731}, journal = {Genetics}, number = {2}, pages = {803 -- 825}, publisher = {Genetics Society of America}, title = {{Selection limits to adaptive walks on correlated landscapes}}, doi = {10.1534/genetics.116.189340}, volume = {205}, year = {2017}, } @article{1077, abstract = {Viral capsids are structurally constrained by interactions among the amino acids (AAs) of their constituent proteins. Therefore, epistasis is expected to evolve among physically interacting sites and to influence the rates of substitution. To study the evolution of epistasis, we focused on the major structural protein of the fX174 phage family by first reconstructing the ancestral protein sequences of 18 species using a Bayesian statistical framework. The inferred ancestral reconstruction differed at eight AAs, for a total of 256 possible ancestral haplotypes. For each ancestral haplotype and the extant species, we estimated, in silico, the distribution of free energies and epistasis of the capsid structure. We found that free energy has not significantly increased but epistasis has. We decomposed epistasis up to fifth order and found that higher-order epistasis sometimes compensates pairwise interactions making the free energy seem additive. The dN/dS ratio is low, suggesting strong purifying selection, and that structure is under stabilizing selection. We synthesized phages carrying ancestral haplotypes of the coat protein gene and measured their fitness experimentally. Our findings indicate that stabilizing mutations can have higher fitness, and that fitness optima do not necessarily coincide with energy minima.}, author = {Fernandes Redondo, Rodrigo A and Vladar, Harold and Włodarski, Tomasz and Bollback, Jonathan P}, issn = {17425689}, journal = {Journal of the Royal Society Interface}, number = {126}, publisher = {Royal Society of London}, title = {{Evolutionary interplay between structure, energy and epistasis in the coat protein of the ϕX174 phage family}}, doi = {10.1098/rsif.2016.0139}, volume = {14}, year = {2017}, } @article{1074, abstract = {Recently it has become feasible to detect long blocks of nearly identical sequence shared between pairs of genomes. These IBD blocks are direct traces of recent coalescence events and, as such, contain ample signal to infer recent demography. Here, we examine sharing of such blocks in two-dimensional populations with local migration. Using a diffusion approximation to trace genetic ancestry, we derive analytical formulae for patterns of isolation by distance of IBD blocks, which can also incorporate recent population density changes. We introduce an inference scheme that uses a composite likelihood approach to fit these formulae. We then extensively evaluate our theory and inference method on a range of scenarios using simulated data. We first validate the diffusion approximation by showing that the theoretical results closely match the simulated block sharing patterns. We then demonstrate that our inference scheme can accurately and robustly infer dispersal rate and effective density, as well as bounds on recent dynamics of population density. To demonstrate an application, we use our estimation scheme to explore the fit of a diffusion model to Eastern European samples in the POPRES data set. We show that ancestry diffusing with a rate of σ ≈ 50–100 km/√gen during the last centuries, combined with accelerating population growth, can explain the observed exponential decay of block sharing with increasing pairwise sample distance.}, author = {Ringbauer, Harald and Coop, Graham and Barton, Nicholas H}, issn = {00166731}, journal = {Genetics}, number = {3}, pages = {1335 -- 1351}, publisher = {Genetics Society of America}, title = {{Inferring recent demography from isolation by distance of long shared sequence blocks}}, doi = {10.1534/genetics.116.196220}, volume = {205}, year = {2017}, } @article{1063, abstract = {Severe environmental change can drive a population extinct unless the population adapts in time to the new conditions (“evolutionary rescue”). How does biparental sexual reproduction influence the chances of population persistence compared to clonal reproduction or selfing? In this article, we set up a one‐locus two‐allele model for adaptation in diploid species, where rescue is contingent on the establishment of the mutant homozygote. Reproduction can occur by random mating, selfing, or clonally. Random mating generates and destroys the rescue mutant; selfing is efficient at generating it but at the same time depletes the heterozygote, which can lead to a low mutant frequency in the standing genetic variation. Due to these (and other) antagonistic effects, we find a nontrivial dependence of population survival on the rate of sex/selfing, which is strongly influenced by the dominance coefficient of the mutation before and after the environmental change. Importantly, since mating with the wild‐type breaks the mutant homozygote up, a slow decay of the wild‐type population size can impede rescue in randomly mating populations.}, author = {Uecker, Hildegard}, issn = {00143820}, journal = {Evolution}, number = {4}, pages = {845 -- 858}, publisher = {Wiley-Blackwell}, title = {{Evolutionary rescue in randomly mating, selfing, and clonal populations}}, doi = {10.1111/evo.13191}, volume = {71}, year = {2017}, } @article{990, abstract = {Assortative mating is an important driver of speciation in populations with gene flow and is predicted to evolve under certain conditions in few-locus models. However, the evolution of assortment is less understood for mating based on quantitative traits, which are often characterized by high genetic variability and extensive linkage disequilibrium between trait loci. We explore this scenario for a two-deme model with migration, by considering a single polygenic trait subject to divergent viability selection across demes, as well as assortative mating and sexual selection within demes, and investigate how trait divergence is shaped by various evolutionary forces. Our analysis reveals the existence of sharp thresholds of assortment strength, at which divergence increases dramatically. We also study the evolution of assortment via invasion of modifiers of mate discrimination and show that the ES assortment strength has an intermediate value under a range of migration-selection parameters, even in diverged populations, due to subtle effects which depend sensitively on the extent of phenotypic variation within these populations. The evolutionary dynamics of the polygenic trait is studied using the hypergeometric and infinitesimal models. We further investigate the sensitivity of our results to the assumptions of the hypergeometric model, using individual-based simulations.}, author = {Sachdeva, Himani and Barton, Nicholas H}, issn = {00143820}, journal = {Evolution; International Journal of Organic Evolution}, number = {6}, pages = {1478 -- 1493 }, publisher = {Wiley-Blackwell}, title = {{Divergence and evolution of assortative mating in a polygenic trait model of speciation with gene flow}}, doi = {10.1111/evo.13252}, volume = {71}, year = {2017}, } @article{954, abstract = {Understanding the relation between genotype and phenotype remains a major challenge. The difficulty of predicting individual mutation effects, and particularly the interactions between them, has prevented the development of a comprehensive theory that links genotypic changes to their phenotypic effects. We show that a general thermodynamic framework for gene regulation, based on a biophysical understanding of protein-DNA binding, accurately predicts the sign of epistasis in a canonical cis-regulatory element consisting of overlapping RNA polymerase and repressor binding sites. Sign and magnitude of individual mutation effects are sufficient to predict the sign of epistasis and its environmental dependence. Thus, the thermodynamic model offers the correct null prediction for epistasis between mutations across DNA-binding sites. Our results indicate that a predictive theory for the effects of cis-regulatory mutations is possible from first principles, as long as the essential molecular mechanisms and the constraints these impose on a biological system are accounted for.}, author = {Lagator, Mato and Paixao, Tiago and Barton, Nicholas H and Bollback, Jonathan P and Guet, Calin C}, issn = {2050084X}, journal = {eLife}, publisher = {eLife Sciences Publications}, title = {{On the mechanistic nature of epistasis in a canonical cis-regulatory element}}, doi = {10.7554/eLife.25192}, volume = {6}, year = {2017}, } @article{955, abstract = {Gene expression is controlled by networks of regulatory proteins that interact specifically with external signals and DNA regulatory sequences. These interactions force the network components to co-evolve so as to continually maintain function. Yet, existing models of evolution mostly focus on isolated genetic elements. In contrast, we study the essential process by which regulatory networks grow: the duplication and subsequent specialization of network components. We synthesize a biophysical model of molecular interactions with the evolutionary framework to find the conditions and pathways by which new regulatory functions emerge. We show that specialization of new network components is usually slow, but can be drastically accelerated in the presence of regulatory crosstalk and mutations that promote promiscuous interactions between network components.}, author = {Friedlander, Tamar and Prizak, Roshan and Barton, Nicholas H and Tkacik, Gasper}, issn = {20411723}, journal = {Nature Communications}, number = {1}, publisher = {Nature Publishing Group}, title = {{Evolution of new regulatory functions on biophysically realistic fitness landscapes}}, doi = {10.1038/s41467-017-00238-8}, volume = {8}, year = {2017}, } @article{953, abstract = {The role of natural selection in the evolution of adaptive phenotypes has undergone constant probing by evolutionary biologists, employing both theoretical and empirical approaches. As Darwin noted, natural selection can act together with other processes, including random changes in the frequencies of phenotypic differences that are not under strong selection, and changes in the environment, which may reflect evolutionary changes in the organisms themselves. As understanding of genetics developed after 1900, the new genetic discoveries were incorporated into evolutionary biology. The resulting general principles were summarized by Julian Huxley in his 1942 book Evolution: the modern synthesis. Here, we examine how recent advances in genetics, developmental biology and molecular biology, including epigenetics, relate to today's understanding of the evolution of adaptations. We illustrate how careful genetic studies have repeatedly shown that apparently puzzling results in a wide diversity of organisms involve processes that are consistent with neo-Darwinism. They do not support important roles in adaptation for processes such as directed mutation or the inheritance of acquired characters, and therefore no radical revision of our understanding of the mechanism of adaptive evolution is needed.}, author = {Charlesworth, Deborah and Barton, Nicholas H and Charlesworth, Brian}, journal = {Proceedings of the Royal Society of London Series B Biological Sciences}, number = {1855}, publisher = {Royal Society, The}, title = {{The sources of adaptive evolution}}, doi = {10.1098/rspb.2016.2864}, volume = {284}, year = {2017}, } @article{952, abstract = {A novel strategy for controlling the spread of arboviral diseases such as dengue, Zika and chikungunya is to transform mosquito populations with virus-suppressing Wolbachia. In general, Wolbachia transinfected into mosquitoes induce fitness costs through lower viability or fecundity. These maternally inherited bacteria also produce a frequency-dependent advantage for infected females by inducing cytoplasmic incompatibility (CI), which kills the embryos produced by uninfected females mated to infected males. These competing effects, a frequency-dependent advantage and frequency-independent costs, produce bistable Wolbachia frequency dynamics. Above a threshold frequency, denoted pˆ, CI drives fitness-decreasing Wolbachia transinfections through local populations; but below pˆ, infection frequencies tend to decline to zero. If pˆ is not too high, CI also drives spatial spread once infections become established over sufficiently large areas. We illustrate how simple models provide testable predictions concerning the spatial and temporal dynamics of Wolbachia introductions, focusing on rate of spatial spread, the shape of spreading waves, and the conditions for initiating spread from local introductions. First, we consider the robustness of diffusion-based predictions to incorporating two important features of wMel-Aedes aegypti biology that may be inconsistent with the diffusion approximations, namely fast local dynamics induced by complete CI (i.e., all embryos produced from incompatible crosses die) and long-tailed, non-Gaussian dispersal. With complete CI, our numerical analyses show that long-tailed dispersal changes wave-width predictions only slightly; but it can significantly reduce wave speed relative to the diffusion prediction; it also allows smaller local introductions to initiate spatial spread. Second, we use approximations for pˆ and dispersal distances to predict the outcome of 2013 releases of wMel-infected Aedes aegypti in Cairns, Australia, Third, we describe new data from Ae. aegypti populations near Cairns, Australia that demonstrate long-distance dispersal and provide an approximate lower bound on pˆ for wMel in northeastern Australia. Finally, we apply our analyses to produce operational guidelines for efficient transformation of vector populations over large areas. We demonstrate that even very slow spatial spread, on the order of 10-20 m/month (as predicted), can produce area-wide population transformation within a few years following initial releases covering about 20-30% of the target area.}, author = {Turelli, Michael and Barton, Nicholas H}, issn = {00405809}, journal = {Theoretical Population Biology}, pages = {45 -- 60}, publisher = {Elsevier}, title = {{Deploying dengue-suppressing Wolbachia: Robust models predict slow but effective spatial spread in Aedes aegypti}}, doi = {10.1016/j.tpb.2017.03.003}, volume = {115}, year = {2017}, } @article{951, abstract = {Dengue-suppressing Wolbachia strains are promising tools for arbovirus control, particularly as they have the potential to self-spread following local introductions. To test this, we followed the frequency of the transinfected Wolbachia strain wMel through Ae. aegypti in Cairns, Australia, following releases at 3 nonisolated locations within the city in early 2013. Spatial spread was analysed graphically using interpolation and by fitting a statistical model describing the position and width of the wave. For the larger 2 of the 3 releases (covering 0.97 km2 and 0.52 km2), we observed slow but steady spatial spread, at about 100–200 m per year, roughly consistent with theoretical predictions. In contrast, the smallest release (0.11 km2) produced erratic temporal and spatial dynamics, with little evidence of spread after 2 years. This is consistent with the prediction concerning fitness-decreasing Wolbachia transinfections that a minimum release area is needed to achieve stable local establishment and spread in continuous habitats. Our graphical and likelihood analyses produced broadly consistent estimates of wave speed and wave width. Spread at all sites was spatially heterogeneous, suggesting that environmental heterogeneity will affect large-scale Wolbachia transformations of urban mosquito populations. The persistence and spread of Wolbachia in release areas meeting minimum area requirements indicates the promise of successful large-scale population transfo}, author = {Schmidt, Tom and Barton, Nicholas H and Rasic, Gordana and Turley, Andrew and Montgomery, Brian and Iturbe Ormaetxe, Inaki and Cook, Peter and Ryan, Peter and Ritchie, Scott and Hoffmann, Ary and O’Neill, Scott and Turelli, Michael}, issn = {15449173}, journal = {PLoS Biology}, number = {5}, publisher = {Public Library of Science}, title = {{Local introduction and heterogeneous spatial spread of dengue-suppressing Wolbachia through an urban population of Aedes Aegypti}}, doi = {10.1371/journal.pbio.2001894}, volume = {15}, year = {2017}, } @misc{9858, author = {Schmidt, Tom and Barton, Nicholas H and Rasic, Gordana and Turley, Andrew and Montgomery, Brian and Iturbe Ormaetxe, Inaki and Cook, Peter and Ryan, Peter and Ritchie, Scott and Hoffmann, Ary and O’Neill, Scott and Turelli, Michael}, publisher = {Public Library of Science}, title = {{Excel file with data on mosquito densities, Wolbachia infection status and housing characteristics}}, doi = {10.1371/journal.pbio.2001894.s016}, year = {2017}, } @misc{9857, author = {Schmidt, Tom and Barton, Nicholas H and Rasic, Gordana and Turley, Andrew and Montgomery, Brian and Iturbe Ormaetxe, Inaki and Cook, Peter and Ryan, Peter and Ritchie, Scott and Hoffmann, Ary and O’Neill, Scott and Turelli, Michael}, publisher = {Public Library of Science }, title = {{Supporting information concerning observed wMel frequencies and analyses of habitat variables}}, doi = {10.1371/journal.pbio.2001894.s015}, year = {2017}, } @misc{9856, author = {Schmidt, Tom and Barton, Nicholas H and Rasic, Gordana and Turley, Andrew and Montgomery, Brian and Iturbe Ormaetxe, Inaki and Cook, Peter and Ryan, Peter and Ritchie, Scott and Hoffmann, Ary and O’Neill, Scott and Turelli, Michael}, publisher = {Public Library of Science}, title = {{Supporting Information concerning additional likelihood analyses and results}}, doi = {10.1371/journal.pbio.2001894.s014}, year = {2017}, } @article{910, abstract = {Frequency-independent selection is generally considered as a force that acts to reduce the genetic variation in evolving populations, yet rigorous arguments for this idea are scarce. When selection fluctuates in time, it is unclear whether frequency-independent selection may maintain genetic polymorphism without invoking additional mechanisms. We show that constant frequency-independent selection with arbitrary epistasis on a well-mixed haploid population eliminates genetic variation if we assume linkage equilibrium between alleles. To this end, we introduce the notion of frequency-independent selection at the level of alleles, which is sufficient to prove our claim and contains the notion of frequency-independent selection on haploids. When selection and recombination are weak but of the same order, there may be strong linkage disequilibrium; numerical calculations show that stable equilibria are highly unlikely. Using the example of a diallelic two-locus model, we then demonstrate that frequency-independent selection that fluctuates in time can maintain stable polymorphism if linkage disequilibrium changes its sign periodically. We put our findings in the context of results from the existing literature and point out those scenarios in which the possible role of frequency-independent selection in maintaining genetic variation remains unclear. }, author = {Novak, Sebastian and Barton, Nicholas H}, journal = {Genetics}, number = {2}, pages = {653 -- 668}, publisher = {Genetics Society of America}, title = {{When does frequency-independent selection maintain genetic variation?}}, doi = {10.1534/genetics.117.300129}, volume = {207}, year = {2017}, } @article{614, abstract = {Moths and butterflies (Lepidoptera) usually have a pair of differentiated WZ sex chromosomes. However, in most lineages outside of the division Ditrysia, as well as in the sister order Trichoptera, females lack a W chromosome. The W is therefore thought to have been acquired secondarily. Here we compare the genomes of three Lepidoptera species (one Dytrisia and two non-Dytrisia) to test three models accounting for the origin of the W: (1) a Z-autosome fusion; (2) a sex chromosome turnover; and (3) a non-canonical mechanism (e.g., through the recruitment of a B chromosome). We show that the gene content of the Z is highly conserved across Lepidoptera (rejecting a sex chromosome turnover) and that very few genes moved onto the Z in the common ancestor of the Ditrysia (arguing against a Z-autosome fusion). Our comparative genomics analysis therefore supports the secondary acquisition of the Lepidoptera W by a non-canonical mechanism, and it confirms the extreme stability of well-differentiated sex chromosomes.}, author = {Fraisse, Christelle and Picard, Marion A and Vicoso, Beatriz}, issn = {20411723}, journal = {Nature Communications}, number = {1}, publisher = {Nature Publishing Group}, title = {{The deep conservation of the Lepidoptera Z chromosome suggests a non canonical origin of the W}}, doi = {10.1038/s41467-017-01663-5}, volume = {8}, year = {2017}, } @misc{7163, abstract = {The de novo genome assemblies generated for this study, and the associated metadata.}, author = {Fraisse, Christelle}, publisher = {Institute of Science and Technology Austria}, title = {{Supplementary Files for "The deep conservation of the Lepidoptera Z chromosome suggests a non canonical origin of the W"}}, doi = {10.15479/AT:ISTA:7163}, year = {2017}, } @article{696, abstract = {Mutator strains are expected to evolve when the availability and effect of beneficial mutations are high enough to counteract the disadvantage from deleterious mutations that will inevitably accumulate. As the population becomes more adapted to its environment, both availability and effect of beneficial mutations necessarily decrease and mutation rates are predicted to decrease. It has been shown that certain molecular mechanisms can lead to increased mutation rates when the organism finds itself in a stressful environment. While this may be a correlated response to other functions, it could also be an adaptive mechanism, raising mutation rates only when it is most advantageous. Here, we use a mathematical model to investigate the plausibility of the adaptive hypothesis. We show that such a mechanism can be mantained if the population is subjected to diverse stresses. By simulating various antibiotic treatment schemes, we find that combination treatments can reduce the effectiveness of second-order selection on stress-induced mutagenesis. We discuss the implications of our results to strategies of antibiotic therapy.}, author = {Lukacisinova, Marta and Novak, Sebastian and Paixao, Tiago}, issn = {1553734X}, journal = {PLoS Computational Biology}, number = {7}, publisher = {Public Library of Science}, title = {{Stress induced mutagenesis: Stress diversity facilitates the persistence of mutator genes}}, doi = {10.1371/journal.pcbi.1005609}, volume = {13}, year = {2017}, } @article{1172, abstract = {A central issue in cell biology is the physico-chemical basis of organelle biogenesis in intracellular trafficking pathways, its most impressive manifestation being the biogenesis of Golgi cisternae. At a basic level, such morphologically and chemically distinct compartments should arise from an interplay between the molecular transport and chemical maturation. Here, we formulate analytically tractable, minimalist models, that incorporate this interplay between transport and chemical progression in physical space, and explore the conditions for de novo biogenesis of distinct cisternae. We propose new quantitative measures that can discriminate between the various models of transport in a qualitative manner-this includes measures of the dynamics in steady state and the dynamical response to perturbations of the kind amenable to live-cell imaging.}, author = {Sachdeva, Himani and Barma, Mustansir and Rao, Madan}, journal = {Scientific Reports}, publisher = {Nature Publishing Group}, title = {{Nonequilibrium description of de novo biogenesis and transport through Golgi-like cisternae}}, doi = {10.1038/srep38840}, volume = {6}, year = {2016}, } @article{1195, abstract = {The genetic analysis of experimentally evolving populations typically relies on short reads from pooled individuals (Pool-Seq). While this method provides reliable allele frequency estimates, the underlying haplotype structure remains poorly characterized. With small population sizes and adaptive variants that start from low frequencies, the interpretation of selection signatures in most Evolve and Resequencing studies remains challenging. To facilitate the characterization of selection targets, we propose a new approach that reconstructs selected haplotypes from replicated time series, using Pool-Seq data. We identify selected haplotypes through the correlated frequencies of alleles carried by them. Computer simulations indicate that selected haplotype-blocks of several Mb can be reconstructed with high confidence and low error rates, even when allele frequencies change only by 20% across three replicates. Applying this method to real data from D. melanogaster populations adapting to a hot environment, we identify a selected haplotype-block of 6.93 Mb. We confirm the presence of this haplotype-block in evolved populations by experimental haplotyping, demonstrating the power and accuracy of our haplotype reconstruction from Pool-Seq data. We propose that the combination of allele frequency estimates with haplotype information will provide the key to understanding the dynamics of adaptive alleles. }, author = {Franssen, Susan and Barton, Nicholas H and Schlötterer, Christian}, journal = {Molecular Biology and Evolution}, number = {1}, pages = {174 -- 184}, publisher = {Oxford University Press}, title = {{Reconstruction of haplotype-blocks selected during experimental evolution.}}, doi = {10.1093/molbev/msw210}, volume = {34}, year = {2016}, } @article{1224, abstract = {Sexual dimorphism in resource allocation is expected to change during the life cycle of dioecious plants because of temporal differences between the sexes in reproductive investment. Given the potential for sex-specific differences in reproductive costs, resource availability may contribute to variation in reproductive allocation in females and males. Here, we used Rumex hastatulus, a dioecious, wind-pollinated annual plant, to investigate whether sexual dimorphism varies with life-history stage and nutrient availability, and determine whether allocation patterns differ depending on reproductive commitment. To examine if the costs of reproduction varied between the sexes, reproduction was either allowed or prevented through bud removal, and biomass allocation was measured at maturity. In a second experiment to assess variation in sexual dimorphism across the life cycle, and whether this varied with resource availability, plants were grown in high and low nutrients and allocation to roots, aboveground vegetative growth and reproduction were measured at three developmental stages. Males prevented from reproducing compensated with increased above- and belowground allocation to a much larger degree than females, suggesting that male reproductive costs reduce vegetative growth. The proportional allocation to roots, reproductive structures and aboveground vegetative growth varied between the sexes and among life-cycle stages, but not with nutrient treatment. Females allocated proportionally more resources to roots than males at peak flowering, but this pattern was reversed at reproductive maturity under low-nutrient conditions. Our study illustrates the importance of temporal dynamics in sex-specific resource allocation and provides support for high male reproductive costs in wind-pollinated plants.}, author = {Teitel, Zachary and Pickup, Melinda and Field, David and Barrett, Spencer}, journal = {Plant Biology}, number = {1}, pages = {98 -- 103}, publisher = {Wiley-Blackwell}, title = {{The dynamics of resource allocation and costs of reproduction in a sexually dimorphic, wind-pollinated dioecious plant}}, doi = {10.1111/plb.12336}, volume = {18}, year = {2016}, } @article{1241, abstract = {How likely is it that a population escapes extinction through adaptive evolution? The answer to this question is of great relevance in conservation biology, where we aim at species’ rescue and the maintenance of biodiversity, and in agriculture and medicine, where we seek to hamper the emergence of pesticide or drug resistance. By reshuffling the genome, recombination has two antagonistic effects on the probability of evolutionary rescue: It generates and it breaks up favorable gene combinations. Which of the two effects prevails depends on the fitness effects of mutations and on the impact of stochasticity on the allele frequencies. In this article, we analyze a mathematical model for rescue after a sudden environmental change when adaptation is contingent on mutations at two loci. The analysis reveals a complex nonlinear dependence of population survival on recombination. We moreover find that, counterintuitively, a fast eradication of the wild type can promote rescue in the presence of recombination. The model also shows that two-step rescue is not unlikely to happen and can even be more likely than single-step rescue (where adaptation relies on a single mutation), depending on the circumstances.}, author = {Uecker, Hildegard and Hermisson, Joachim}, journal = {Genetics}, number = {2}, pages = {721 -- 732}, publisher = {Genetics Society of America}, title = {{The role of recombination in evolutionary rescue}}, doi = {10.1534/genetics.115.180299}, volume = {202}, year = {2016}, } @inproceedings{1349, abstract = {Crossing fitness valleys is one of the major obstacles to function optimization. In this paper we investigate how the structure of the fitness valley, namely its depth d and length ℓ, influence the runtime of different strategies for crossing these valleys. We present a runtime comparison between the (1+1) EA and two non-elitist nature-inspired algorithms, Strong Selection Weak Mutation (SSWM) and the Metropolis algorithm. While the (1+1) EA has to jump across the valley to a point of higher fitness because it does not accept decreasing moves, the non-elitist algorithms may cross the valley by accepting worsening moves. We show that while the runtime of the (1+1) EA algorithm depends critically on the length of the valley, the runtimes of the non-elitist algorithms depend crucially only on the depth of the valley. In particular, the expected runtime of both SSWM and Metropolis is polynomial in ℓ and exponential in d while the (1+1) EA is efficient only for valleys of small length. Moreover, we show that both SSWM and Metropolis can also efficiently optimize a rugged function consisting of consecutive valleys.}, author = {Oliveto, Pietro and Paixao, Tiago and Heredia, Jorge and Sudholt, Dirk and Trubenova, Barbora}, booktitle = {Proceedings of the Genetic and Evolutionary Computation Conference 2016 }, location = {Denver, CO, USA}, pages = {1163 -- 1170}, publisher = {ACM}, title = {{When non-elitism outperforms elitism for crossing fitness valleys}}, doi = {10.1145/2908812.2908909}, year = {2016}, } @article{1359, abstract = {The role of gene interactions in the evolutionary process has long been controversial. Although some argue that they are not of importance, because most variation is additive, others claim that their effect in the long term can be substantial. Here, we focus on the long-term effects of genetic interactions under directional selection assuming no mutation or dominance, and that epistasis is symmetrical overall. We ask by how much the mean of a complex trait can be increased by selection and analyze two extreme regimes, in which either drift or selection dominate the dynamics of allele frequencies. In both scenarios, epistatic interactions affect the long-term response to selection by modulating the additive genetic variance. When drift dominates, we extend Robertson ’ s [Robertson A (1960) Proc R Soc Lond B Biol Sci 153(951):234 − 249] argument to show that, for any form of epistasis, the total response of a haploid population is proportional to the initial total genotypic variance. In contrast, the total response of a diploid population is increased by epistasis, for a given initial genotypic variance. When selection dominates, we show that the total selection response can only be increased by epistasis when s ome initially deleterious alleles become favored as the genetic background changes. We find a sim- ple approximation for this effect and show that, in this regime, it is the structure of the genotype - phenotype map that matters and not the variance components of the population.}, author = {Paixao, Tiago and Barton, Nicholas H}, journal = {PNAS}, number = {16}, pages = {4422 -- 4427}, publisher = {National Academy of Sciences}, title = {{The effect of gene interactions on the long-term response to selection}}, doi = {10.1073/pnas.1518830113}, volume = {113}, year = {2016}, } @article{1356, author = {Barton, Nicholas H}, journal = {Genetics}, number = {1}, pages = {3 -- 4}, publisher = {Genetics Society of America}, title = {{Sewall Wright on evolution in Mendelian populations and the “Shifting Balance”}}, doi = {10.1534/genetics.115.184796}, volume = {202}, year = {2016}, } @article{1357, author = {Barton, Nicholas H}, journal = {Genetics}, number = {3}, pages = {865 -- 866}, publisher = {Genetics Society of America}, title = {{Richard Hudson and Norman Kaplan on the coalescent process}}, doi = {10.1534/genetics.116.187542}, volume = {202}, year = {2016}, } @article{1409, author = {Abbott, Richard and Barton, Nicholas H and Good, Jeffrey}, journal = {Molecular Ecology}, number = {11}, pages = {2325 -- 2332}, publisher = {Wiley-Blackwell}, title = {{Genomics of hybridization and its evolutionary consequences}}, doi = {10.1111/mec.13685}, volume = {25}, year = {2016}, } @article{1420, abstract = {Selection, mutation, and random drift affect the dynamics of allele frequencies and consequently of quantitative traits. While the macroscopic dynamics of quantitative traits can be measured, the underlying allele frequencies are typically unobserved. Can we understand how the macroscopic observables evolve without following these microscopic processes? This problem has been studied previously by analogy with statistical mechanics: the allele frequency distribution at each time point is approximated by the stationary form, which maximizes entropy. We explore the limitations of this method when mutation is small (4Nμ < 1) so that populations are typically close to fixation, and we extend the theory in this regime to account for changes in mutation strength. We consider a single diallelic locus either under directional selection or with overdominance and then generalize to multiple unlinked biallelic loci with unequal effects. We find that the maximum-entropy approximation is remarkably accurate, even when mutation and selection change rapidly. }, author = {Bod'ová, Katarína and Tkacik, Gasper and Barton, Nicholas H}, journal = {Genetics}, number = {4}, pages = {1523 -- 1548}, publisher = {Genetics Society of America}, title = {{A general approximation for the dynamics of quantitative traits}}, doi = {10.1534/genetics.115.184127}, volume = {202}, year = {2016}, } @article{1518, abstract = {The inference of demographic history from genome data is hindered by a lack of efficient computational approaches. In particular, it has proved difficult to exploit the information contained in the distribution of genealogies across the genome. We have previously shown that the generating function (GF) of genealogies can be used to analytically compute likelihoods of demographic models from configurations of mutations in short sequence blocks (Lohse et al. 2011). Although the GF has a simple, recursive form, the size of such likelihood calculations explodes quickly with the number of individuals and applications of this framework have so far been mainly limited to small samples (pairs and triplets) for which the GF can be written by hand. Here we investigate several strategies for exploiting the inherent symmetries of the coalescent. In particular, we show that the GF of genealogies can be decomposed into a set of equivalence classes that allows likelihood calculations from nontrivial samples. Using this strategy, we automated blockwise likelihood calculations for a general set of demographic scenarios in Mathematica. These histories may involve population size changes, continuous migration, discrete divergence, and admixture between multiple populations. To give a concrete example, we calculate the likelihood for a model of isolation with migration (IM), assuming two diploid samples without phase and outgroup information. We demonstrate the new inference scheme with an analysis of two individual butterfly genomes from the sister species Heliconius melpomene rosina and H. cydno.}, author = {Lohse, Konrad and Chmelik, Martin and Martin, Simon and Barton, Nicholas H}, journal = {Genetics}, number = {2}, pages = {775 -- 786}, publisher = {Genetics Society of America}, title = {{Efficient strategies for calculating blockwise likelihoods under the coalescent}}, doi = {10.1534/genetics.115.183814}, volume = {202}, year = {2016}, } @article{1631, abstract = {Ancestral processes are fundamental to modern population genetics and spatial structure has been the subject of intense interest for many years. Despite this interest, almost nothing is known about the distribution of the locations of pedigree or genetic ancestors. Using both spatially continuous and stepping-stone models, we show that the distribution of pedigree ancestors approaches a travelling wave, for which we develop two alternative approximations. The speed and width of the wave are sensitive to the local details of the model. After a short time, genetic ancestors spread far more slowly than pedigree ancestors, ultimately diffusing out with radius ## rather than spreading at constant speed. In contrast to the wave of pedigree ancestors, the spread of genetic ancestry is insensitive to the local details of the models.}, author = {Kelleher, Jerome and Etheridge, Alison and Véber, Amandine and Barton, Nicholas H}, journal = {Theoretical Population Biology}, pages = {1 -- 12}, publisher = {Academic Press}, title = {{Spread of pedigree versus genetic ancestry in spatially distributed populations}}, doi = {10.1016/j.tpb.2015.10.008}, volume = {108}, year = {2016}, } @article{1158, abstract = {Speciation results from the progressive accumulation of mutations that decrease the probability of mating between parental populations or reduce the fitness of hybrids—the so-called species barriers. The speciation genomic literature, however, is mainly a collection of case studies, each with its own approach and specificities, such that a global view of the gradual process of evolution from one to two species is currently lacking. Of primary importance is the prevalence of gene flow between diverging entities, which is central in most species concepts and has been widely discussed in recent years. Here, we explore the continuum of speciation thanks to a comparative analysis of genomic data from 61 pairs of populations/species of animals with variable levels of divergence. Gene flow between diverging gene pools is assessed under an approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) framework. We show that the intermediate "grey zone" of speciation, in which taxonomy is often controversial, spans from 0.5% to 2% of net synonymous divergence, irrespective of species life history traits or ecology. Thanks to appropriate modeling of among-locus variation in genetic drift and introgression rate, we clarify the status of the majority of ambiguous cases and uncover a number of cryptic species. Our analysis also reveals the high incidence in animals of semi-isolated species (when some but not all loci are affected by barriers to gene flow) and highlights the intrinsic difficulty, both statistical and conceptual, of delineating species in the grey zone of speciation.}, author = {Roux, Camille and Fraisse, Christelle and Romiguier, Jonathan and Anciaux, Youann and Galtier, Nicolas and Bierne, Nicolas}, journal = {PLoS Biology}, number = {12}, publisher = {Public Library of Science}, title = {{Shedding light on the grey zone of speciation along a continuum of genomic divergence}}, doi = {10.1371/journal.pbio.2000234}, volume = {14}, year = {2016}, } @misc{9862, author = {Roux, Camille and Fraisse, Christelle and Romiguier, Jonathan and Anciaux, Youann and Galtier, Nicolas and Bierne, Nicolas}, publisher = {Public Library of Science}, title = {{Simulation study to test the robustness of ABC in face of recent times of divergence}}, doi = {10.1371/journal.pbio.2000234.s016}, year = {2016}, } @misc{9863, author = {Roux, Camille and Fraisse, Christelle and Romiguier, Jonathan and Anciaux, Youann and Galtier, Nicolas and Bierne, Nicolas}, publisher = {Public Library of Science}, title = {{Accessions of surveyed individuals, geographic locations and summary statistics}}, doi = {10.1371/journal.pbio.2000234.s017}, year = {2016}, } @phdthesis{1125, abstract = {Natural environments are never constant but subject to spatial and temporal change on all scales, increasingly so due to human activity. Hence, it is crucial to understand the impact of environmental variation on evolutionary processes. In this thesis, I present three topics that share the common theme of environmental variation, yet illustrate its effect from different perspectives. First, I show how a temporally fluctuating environment gives rise to second-order selection on a modifier for stress-induced mutagenesis. Without fluctuations, when populations are adapted to their environment, mutation rates are minimized. I argue that a stress-induced mutator mechanism may only be maintained if the population is repeatedly subjected to diverse environmental challenges, and I outline implications of the presented results to antibiotic treatment strategies. Second, I discuss my work on the evolution of dispersal. Besides reproducing known results about the effect of heterogeneous habitats on dispersal, it identifies spatial changes in dispersal type frequencies as a source for selection for increased propensities to disperse. This concept contains effects of relatedness that are known to promote dispersal, and I explain how it identifies other forces selecting for dispersal and puts them on a common scale. Third, I analyse genetic variances of phenotypic traits under multivariate stabilizing selection. For the case of constant environments, I generalize known formulae of equilibrium variances to multiple traits and discuss how the genetic variance of a focal trait is influenced by selection on background traits. I conclude by presenting ideas and preliminary work aiming at including environmental fluctuations in the form of moving trait optima into the model.}, author = {Novak, Sebastian}, issn = {2663-337X}, pages = {124}, publisher = {Institute of Science and Technology Austria}, title = {{Evolutionary proccesses in variable emvironments}}, year = {2016}, } @article{1358, abstract = {Gene regulation relies on the specificity of transcription factor (TF)–DNA interactions. Limited specificity may lead to crosstalk: a regulatory state in which a gene is either incorrectly activated due to noncognate TF–DNA interactions or remains erroneously inactive. As each TF can have numerous interactions with noncognate cis-regulatory elements, crosstalk is inherently a global problem, yet has previously not been studied as such. We construct a theoretical framework to analyse the effects of global crosstalk on gene regulation. We find that crosstalk presents a significant challenge for organisms with low-specificity TFs, such as metazoans. Crosstalk is not easily mitigated by known regulatory schemes acting at equilibrium, including variants of cooperativity and combinatorial regulation. Our results suggest that crosstalk imposes a previously unexplored global constraint on the functioning and evolution of regulatory networks, which is qualitatively distinct from the known constraints that act at the level of individual gene regulatory elements.}, author = {Friedlander, Tamar and Prizak, Roshan and Guet, Calin C and Barton, Nicholas H and Tkacik, Gasper}, journal = {Nature Communications}, publisher = {Nature Publishing Group}, title = {{Intrinsic limits to gene regulation by global crosstalk}}, doi = {10.1038/ncomms12307}, volume = {7}, year = {2016}, } @misc{9710, abstract = {Much of quantitative genetics is based on the ‘infinitesimal model’, under which selection has a negligible effect on the genetic variance. This is typically justified by assuming a very large number of loci with additive effects. However, it applies even when genes interact, provided that the number of loci is large enough that selection on each of them is weak relative to random drift. In the long term, directional selection will change allele frequencies, but even then, the effects of epistasis on the ultimate change in trait mean due to selection may be modest. Stabilising selection can maintain many traits close to their optima, even when the underlying alleles are weakly selected. However, the number of traits that can be optimised is apparently limited to ~4Ne by the ‘drift load’, and this is hard to reconcile with the apparent complexity of many organisms. Just as for the mutation load, this limit can be evaded by a particular form of negative epistasis. A more robust limit is set by the variance in reproductive success. This suggests that selection accumulates information most efficiently in the infinitesimal regime, when selection on individual alleles is weak, and comparable with random drift. A review of evidence on selection strength suggests that although most variance in fitness may be because of alleles with large Nes, substantial amounts of adaptation may be because of alleles in the infinitesimal regime, in which epistasis has modest effects.}, author = {Barton, Nicholas H}, publisher = {Dryad}, title = {{Data from: How does epistasis influence the response to selection?}}, doi = {10.5061/dryad.s5s7r}, year = {2016}, } @misc{9864, abstract = {Viral capsids are structurally constrained by interactions among the amino acids (AAs) of their constituent proteins. Therefore, epistasis is expected to evolve among physically interacting sites and to influence the rates of substitution. To study the evolution of epistasis, we focused on the major structural protein of the ϕX174 phage family by, first, reconstructing the ancestral protein sequences of 18 species using a Bayesian statistical framework. The inferred ancestral reconstruction differed at eight AAs, for a total of 256 possible ancestral haplotypes. For each ancestral haplotype and the extant species, we estimated, in silico, the distribution of free energies and epistasis of the capsid structure. We found that free energy has not significantly increased but epistasis has. We decomposed epistasis up to fifth order and found that higher-order epistasis sometimes compensates pairwise interactions making the free energy seem additive. The dN/dS ratio is low, suggesting strong purifying selection, and that structure is under stabilizing selection. We synthesized phages carrying ancestral haplotypes of the coat protein gene and measured their fitness experimentally. Our findings indicate that stabilizing mutations can have higher fitness, and that fitness optima do not necessarily coincide with energy minima.}, author = {Fernandes Redondo, Rodrigo A and de Vladar, Harold and Włodarski, Tomasz and Bollback, Jonathan P}, publisher = {The Royal Society}, title = {{Data from evolutionary interplay between structure, energy and epistasis in the coat protein of the ϕX174 phage family}}, doi = {10.6084/m9.figshare.4315652.v1}, year = {2016}, } @article{1382, abstract = {Background and aims Angiosperms display remarkable diversity in flower colour, implying that transitions between pigmentation phenotypes must have been common. Despite progress in understanding transitions between anthocyanin (blue, purple, pink or red) and unpigmented (white) flowers, little is known about the evolutionary patterns of flower-colour transitions in lineages with both yellow and anthocyanin-pigmented flowers. This study investigates the relative rates of evolutionary transitions between different combinations of yellow- and anthocyanin-pigmentation phenotypes in the tribe Antirrhineae. Methods We surveyed taxonomic literature for data on anthocyanin and yellow floral pigmentation for 369 species across the tribe. We then reconstructed the phylogeny of 169 taxa and used phylogenetic comparative methods to estimate transition rates among pigmentation phenotypes across the phylogeny. Key Results In contrast to previous studies we found a bias towards transitions involving a gain in pigmentation, although transitions to phenotypes with both anthocyanin and yellow taxa are nevertheless extremely rare. Despite the dominance of yellow and anthocyanin-pigmented taxa, transitions between these phenotypes are constrained to move through a white intermediate stage, whereas transitions to double-pigmentation are very rare. The most abundant transitions are between anthocyanin-pigmented and unpigmented flowers, and similarly the most abundant polymorphic taxa were those with anthocyanin-pigmented and unpigmented flowers. Conclusions Our findings show that pigment evolution is limited by the presence of other floral pigments. This interaction between anthocyanin and yellow pigments constrains the breadth of potential floral diversity observed in nature. In particular, they suggest that selection has repeatedly acted to promote the spread of single-pigmented phenotypes across the Antirrhineae phylogeny. Furthermore, the correlation between transition rates and polymorphism suggests that the forces causing and maintaining variance in the short term reflect evolutionary processes on longer time scales.}, author = {Ellis, Thomas and Field, David}, journal = {Annals of Botany}, number = {7}, pages = {1133 -- 1140}, publisher = {Oxford University Press}, title = {{Repeated gains in yellow and anthocyanin pigmentation in flower colour transitions in the Antirrhineae}}, doi = {10.1093/aob/mcw043}, volume = {117}, year = {2016}, } @misc{5550, abstract = {We collected flower colour information on species in the tribe Antirrhineae from taxonomic literature. We also retreived molecular data from GenBank for as many of these species as possible to estimate phylogenetic relationships among these taxa. We then used the R package 'diversitree' to examine patterns of evolutionary transitions between anthocyanin and yellow pigmentation across the phylogeny. For full details of the methods see: Ellis TJ and Field DL "Repeated gains in yellow and anthocyanin pigmentation in flower colour transitions in the Antirrhineae”, Annals of Botany (in press)}, author = {Ellis, Thomas and Field, David}, publisher = {Institute of Science and Technology Austria}, title = {{Flower colour data and phylogeny (NEXUS) files}}, doi = {10.15479/AT:ISTA:34}, year = {2016}, } @phdthesis{1398, abstract = {Hybrid zones represent evolutionary laboratories, where recombination brings together alleles in combinations which have not previously been tested by selection. This provides an excellent opportunity to test the effect of molecular variation on fitness, and how this variation is able to spread through populations in a natural context. The snapdragon Antirrhinum majus is polymorphic in the wild for two loci controlling the distribution of yellow and magenta floral pigments. Where the yellow A. m. striatum and the magenta A. m. pseudomajus meet along a valley in the Spanish Pyrenees they form a stable hybrid zone Alleles at these loci recombine to give striking transgressive variation for flower colour. The sharp transition in phenotype over ~1km implies strong selection maintaining the hybrid zone. An indirect assay of pollinator visitation in the field found that pollinators forage in a positive-frequency dependent manner on Antirrhinum, matching previous data on fruit set. Experimental arrays and paternity analysis of wild-pollinated seeds demonstrated assortative mating for pigmentation alleles, and that pollinator behaviour alone is sufficient to explain this pattern. Selection by pollinators should be sufficiently strong to maintain the hybrid zone, although other mechanisms may be at work. At a broader scale I examined evolutionary transitions between yellow and anthocyanin pigmentation in the tribe Antirrhinae, and found that selection has acted strate that pollinators are a major determinant of reproductive success and mating patterns in wild Antirrhinum.}, author = {Ellis, Thomas}, issn = {2663-337X}, pages = {130}, publisher = {Institute of Science and Technology Austria}, title = {{The role of pollinator-mediated selection in the maintenance of a flower color polymorphism in an Antirrhinum majus hybrid zone}}, doi = {10.15479/AT:ISTA:TH_526 }, year = {2016}, } @phdthesis{1131, abstract = {Evolution of gene regulation is important for phenotypic evolution and diversity. Sequence-specific binding of regulatory proteins is one of the key regulatory mechanisms determining gene expression. Although there has been intense interest in evolution of regulatory binding sites in the last decades, a theoretical understanding is far from being complete. In this thesis, I aim at a better understanding of the evolution of transcriptional regulatory binding sequences by using biophysical and population genetic models. In the first part of the thesis, I discuss how to formulate the evolutionary dynamics of binding se- quences in a single isolated binding site and in promoter/enhancer regions. I develop a theoretical framework bridging between a thermodynamical model for transcription and a mutation-selection-drift model for monomorphic populations. I mainly address the typical evolutionary rates, and how they de- pend on biophysical parameters (e.g. binding length and specificity) and population genetic parameters (e.g. population size and selection strength). In the second part of the thesis, I analyse empirical data for a better evolutionary and biophysical understanding of sequence-specific binding of bacterial RNA polymerase. First, I infer selection on regulatory and non-regulatory binding sites of RNA polymerase in the E. coli K12 genome. Second, I infer the chemical potential of RNA polymerase, an important but unknown physical parameter defining the threshold energy for strong binding. Furthermore, I try to understand the relation between the lac promoter sequence diversity and the LacZ activity variation among 20 bacterial isolates by constructing a simple but biophysically motivated gene expression model. Lastly, I lay out a statistical framework to predict adaptive point mutations in de novo promoter evolution in a selection experiment.}, author = {Tugrul, Murat}, issn = {2663-337X}, pages = {89}, publisher = {Institute of Science and Technology Austria}, title = {{Evolution of transcriptional regulatory sequences}}, year = {2016}, } @misc{5553, abstract = {Genotypic, phenotypic and demographic data for 2128 wild snapdragons and 1127 open-pollinated progeny from a natural hybrid zone, collected as part of Tom Ellis' PhD thesis (submitted) February 2016). Tissue samples were sent to LGC Genomics in Berlin for DNA extraction, and genotyping at 70 SNP markers by KASPR genotyping. 29 of these SNPs failed to amplify reliably, and have been removed from this dataset. Other data were retreived from an online database of this population at www.antspec.org.}, author = {Field, David and Ellis, Thomas}, keywords = {paternity assignment, pedigree, matting patterns, assortative mating, Antirrhinum majus, frequency-dependent selection, plant-pollinator interaction}, publisher = {Institute of Science and Technology Austria}, title = {{Inference of mating patterns among wild snapdragons in a natural hybrid zone in 2012}}, doi = {10.15479/AT:ISTA:37}, year = {2016}, } @misc{5551, abstract = {Data from array experiments investigating pollinator behaviour on snapdragons in controlled conditions, and their effect on plant mating. Data were collected as part of Tom Ellis' PhD thesis , submitted February 2016. We placed a total of 36 plants in a grid inside a closed organza tent, with a single hive of commercially bred bumblebees (Bombus hortorum). We used only the yellow-flowered Antirrhinum majus striatum and the magenta-flowered Antirrhinum majus pseudomajus, at ratios of 6:36, 12:24, 18:18, 24:12 and 30:6. After 24 hours to learn how to deal with snapdragons, I observed pollinators foraging on plants, and recorded the transitions between plants. Thereafter seeds on plants were allowed to develops. A sample of these were grown to maturity when their flower colour could be determined, and they were scored as yellow, magenta, or hybrid.}, author = {Ellis, Thomas}, publisher = {Institute of Science and Technology Austria}, title = {{Data on pollinator observations and offpsring phenotypes}}, doi = {10.15479/AT:ISTA:35}, year = {2016}, }