@article{9816, abstract = {Aims: Mass antigen testing programs have been challenged because of an alleged insufficient specificity, leading to a large number of false positives. The objective of this study is to derive a lower bound of the specificity of the SD Biosensor Standard Q Ag-Test in large scale practical use. Methods: Based on county data from the nationwide tests for SARS-CoV-2 in Slovakia between 31.10.–1.11. 2020 we calculate a lower confidence bound for the specificity. As positive test results were not systematically verified by PCR tests, we base the lower bound on a worst case assumption, assuming all positives to be false positives. Results: 3,625,332 persons from 79 counties were tested. The lowest positivity rate was observed in the county of Rožňava where 100 out of 34307 (0.29%) tests were positive. This implies a test specificity of at least 99.6% (97.5% one-sided lower confidence bound, adjusted for multiplicity). Conclusion: The obtained lower bound suggests a higher specificity compared to earlier studies in spite of the underlying worst case assumption and the application in a mass testing setting. The actual specificity is expected to exceed 99.6% if the prevalence in the respective regions was non-negligible at the time of testing. To our knowledge, this estimate constitutes the first bound obtained from large scale practical use of an antigen test.}, author = {Hledik, Michal and Polechova, Jitka and Beiglböck, Mathias and Herdina, Anna Nele and Strassl, Robert and Posch, Martin}, issn = {1932-6203}, journal = {PLoS ONE}, number = {7}, publisher = {Public Library of Science}, title = {{Analysis of the specificity of a COVID-19 antigen test in the Slovak mass testing program}}, doi = {10.1371/journal.pone.0255267}, volume = {16}, year = {2021}, } @article{9252, abstract = {This paper analyses the conditions for local adaptation in a metapopulation with infinitely many islands under a model of hard selection, where population size depends on local fitness. Each island belongs to one of two distinct ecological niches or habitats. Fitness is influenced by an additive trait which is under habitat‐dependent directional selection. Our analysis is based on the diffusion approximation and accounts for both genetic drift and demographic stochasticity. By neglecting linkage disequilibria, it yields the joint distribution of allele frequencies and population size on each island. We find that under hard selection, the conditions for local adaptation in a rare habitat are more restrictive for more polygenic traits: even moderate migration load per locus at very many loci is sufficient for population sizes to decline. This further reduces the efficacy of selection at individual loci due to increased drift and because smaller populations are more prone to swamping due to migration, causing a positive feedback between increasing maladaptation and declining population sizes. Our analysis also highlights the importance of demographic stochasticity, which exacerbates the decline in numbers of maladapted populations, leading to population collapse in the rare habitat at significantly lower migration than predicted by deterministic arguments.}, author = {Szep, Eniko and Sachdeva, Himani and Barton, Nicholas H}, issn = {1558-5646}, journal = {Evolution}, keywords = {Genetics, Ecology, Evolution, Behavior and Systematics, General Agricultural and Biological Sciences}, number = {5}, pages = {1030--1045}, publisher = {Wiley}, title = {{Polygenic local adaptation in metapopulations: A stochastic eco‐evolutionary model}}, doi = {10.1111/evo.14210}, volume = {75}, year = {2021}, } @article{9374, abstract = {If there are no constraints on the process of speciation, then the number of species might be expected to match the number of available niches and this number might be indefinitely large. One possible constraint is the opportunity for allopatric divergence. In 1981, Felsenstein used a simple and elegant model to ask if there might also be genetic constraints. He showed that progress towards speciation could be described by the build‐up of linkage disequilibrium among divergently selected loci and between these loci and those contributing to other forms of reproductive isolation. Therefore, speciation is opposed by recombination, because it tends to break down linkage disequilibria. Felsenstein then introduced a crucial distinction between “two‐allele” models, which are subject to this effect, and “one‐allele” models, which are free from the recombination constraint. These fundamentally important insights have been the foundation for both empirical and theoretical studies of speciation ever since.}, author = {Butlin, Roger K. and Servedio, Maria R. and Smadja, Carole M. and Bank, Claudia and Barton, Nicholas H and Flaxman, Samuel M. and Giraud, Tatiana and Hopkins, Robin and Larson, Erica L. and Maan, Martine E. and Meier, Joana and Merrill, Richard and Noor, Mohamed A. F. and Ortiz‐Barrientos, Daniel and Qvarnström, Anna}, issn = {1558-5646}, journal = {Evolution}, keywords = {Genetics, Ecology, Evolution, Behavior and Systematics, General Agricultural and Biological Sciences}, number = {5}, pages = {978--988}, publisher = {Wiley}, title = {{Homage to Felsenstein 1981, or why are there so few/many species?}}, doi = {10.1111/evo.14235}, volume = {75}, year = {2021}, } @misc{13062, abstract = {This paper analyzes the conditions for local adaptation in a metapopulation with infinitely many islands under a model of hard selection, where population size depends on local fitness. Each island belongs to one of two distinct ecological niches or habitats. Fitness is influenced by an additive trait which is under habitat-dependent directional selection. Our analysis is based on the diffusion approximation and accounts for both genetic drift and demographic stochasticity. By neglecting linkage disequilibria, it yields the joint distribution of allele frequencies and population size on each island. We find that under hard selection, the conditions for local adaptation in a rare habitat are more restrictive for more polygenic traits: even moderate migration load per locus at very many loci is sufficient for population sizes to decline. This further reduces the efficacy of selection at individual loci due to increased drift and because smaller populations are more prone to swamping due to migration, causing a positive feedback between increasing maladaptation and declining population sizes. Our analysis also highlights the importance of demographic stochasticity, which exacerbates the decline in numbers of maladapted populations, leading to population collapse in the rare habitat at significantly lower migration than predicted by deterministic arguments.}, author = {Szep, Eniko and Sachdeva, Himani and Barton, Nicholas H}, publisher = {Dryad}, title = {{Supplementary code for: Polygenic local adaptation in metapopulations: A stochastic eco-evolutionary model}}, doi = {10.5061/DRYAD.8GTHT76P1}, year = {2021}, } @article{9383, abstract = {A primary roadblock to our understanding of speciation is that it usually occurs over a timeframe that is too long to study from start to finish. The idea of a speciation continuum provides something of a solution to this problem; rather than observing the entire process, we can simply reconstruct it from the multitude of speciation events that surround us. But what do we really mean when we talk about the speciation continuum, and can it really help us understand speciation? We explored these questions using a literature review and online survey of speciation researchers. Although most researchers were familiar with the concept and thought it was useful, our survey revealed extensive disagreement about what the speciation continuum actually tells us. This is due partly to the lack of a clear definition. Here, we provide an explicit definition that is compatible with the Biological Species Concept. That is, the speciation continuum is a continuum of reproductive isolation. After outlining the logic of the definition in light of alternatives, we explain why attempts to reconstruct the speciation process from present‐day populations will ultimately fail. We then outline how we think the speciation continuum concept can continue to act as a foundation for understanding the continuum of reproductive isolation that surrounds us.}, author = {Stankowski, Sean and Ravinet, Mark}, issn = {1558-5646}, journal = {Evolution}, number = {6}, pages = {1256--1273}, publisher = {Oxford University Press}, title = {{Defining the speciation continuum}}, doi = {10.1111/evo.14215}, volume = {75}, year = {2021}, } @inbook{14984, abstract = {Hybrid zones are narrow geographic regions where different populations, races or interbreeding species meet and mate, producing mixed ‘hybrid’ offspring. They are relatively common and can be found in a diverse range of organisms and environments. The study of hybrid zones has played an important role in our understanding of the origin of species, with hybrid zones having been described as ‘natural laboratories’. This is because they allow us to study,in situ, the conditions and evolutionary forces that enable divergent taxa to remain distinct despite some ongoing gene exchange between them.}, author = {Stankowski, Sean and Shipilina, Daria and Westram, Anja M}, booktitle = {Encyclopedia of Life Sciences}, isbn = {9780470016176}, publisher = {Wiley}, title = {{Hybrid Zones}}, doi = {10.1002/9780470015902.a0029355}, volume = {2}, year = {2021}, } @misc{9192, abstract = {Here are the research data underlying the publication " Effects of fine-scale population structure on inbreeding in a long-term study of snapdragons (Antirrhinum majus)." Further information are summed up in the README document.}, author = {Surendranadh, Parvathy and Arathoon, Louise S and Baskett, Carina and Field, David and Pickup, Melinda and Barton, Nicholas H}, publisher = {Institute of Science and Technology Austria}, title = {{Effects of fine-scale population structure on the distribution of heterozygosity in a long-term study of Antirrhinum majus}}, doi = {10.15479/AT:ISTA:9192}, year = {2021}, } @article{7651, abstract = {The growth of snail shells can be described by simple mathematical rules. Variation in a few parameters can explain much of the diversity of shell shapes seen in nature. However, empirical studies of gastropod shell shape variation typically use geometric morphometric approaches, which do not capture this growth pattern. We have developed a way to infer a set of developmentally descriptive shape parameters based on three-dimensional logarithmic helicospiral growth and using landmarks from two-dimensional shell images as input. We demonstrate the utility of this approach, and compare it to the geometric morphometric approach, using a large set of Littorina saxatilis shells in which locally adapted populations differ in shape. Our method can be modified easily to make it applicable to a wide range of shell forms, which would allow for investigations of the similarities and differences between and within many different species of gastropods.}, author = {Larsson, J. and Westram, Anja M and Bengmark, S. and Lundh, T. and Butlin, R. K.}, issn = {1742-5662}, journal = {Journal of The Royal Society Interface}, number = {163}, publisher = {The Royal Society}, title = {{A developmentally descriptive method for quantifying shape in gastropod shells}}, doi = {10.1098/rsif.2019.0721}, volume = {17}, year = {2020}, } @inbook{9123, abstract = {Inversions are chromosomal rearrangements where the order of genes is reversed. Inversions originate by mutation and can be under positive, negative or balancing selection. Selective effects result from potential disruptive effects on meiosis, gene disruption at inversion breakpoints and, importantly, the effects of inversions as modifiers of recombination rate: Recombination is strongly reduced in individuals heterozygous for an inversion, allowing for alleles at different loci to be inherited as a ‘block’. This may lead to a selective advantage whenever it is favourable to keep certain combinations of alleles associated, for example under local adaptation with gene flow. Inversions can cover a considerable part of a chromosome and contain numerous loci under different selection pressures, so that the resulting overall effects may be complex. Empirical data from various systems show that inversions may have a prominent role in local adaptation, speciation, parallel evolution, the maintenance of polymorphism and sex chromosome evolution.}, author = {Westram, Anja M and Faria, Rui and Butlin, Roger and Johannesson, Kerstin}, booktitle = {eLS}, isbn = {9780470016176}, publisher = {Wiley}, title = {{Inversions and Evolution}}, doi = {10.1002/9780470015902.a0029007}, year = {2020}, } @misc{13073, abstract = {The Mytilus complex of marine mussel species forms a mosaic of hybrid zones, found across temperate regions of the globe. This allows us to study "replicated" instances of secondary contact between closely-related species. Previous work on this complex has shown that local introgression is both widespread and highly heterogeneous, and has identified SNPs that are outliers of differentiation between lineages. Here, we developed an ancestry-informative panel of such SNPs. We then compared their frequencies in newly-sampled populations, including samples from within the hybrid zones, and parental populations at different distances from the contact. Results show that close to the hybrid zones, some outlier loci are near to fixation for the heterospecific allele, suggesting enhanced local introgression, or the local sweep of a shared ancestral allele. Conversely, genomic cline analyses, treating local parental populations as the reference, reveal a globally high concordance among loci, albeit with a few signals of asymmetric introgression. Enhanced local introgression at specific loci is consistent with the early transfer of adaptive variants after contact, possibly including asymmetric bi-stable variants (Dobzhansky-Muller incompatibilities), or haplotypes loaded with fewer deleterious mutations. Having escaped one barrier, however, these variants can be trapped or delayed at the next barrier, confining the introgression locally. These results shed light on the decay of species barriers during phases of contact.}, author = {Simon, Alexis and Fraisse, Christelle and El Ayari, Tahani and Liautard-Haag, Cathy and Strelkov, Petr and Welch, John and Bierne, Nicolas}, publisher = {Dryad}, title = {{How do species barriers decay? concordance and local introgression in mosaic hybrid zones of mussels}}, doi = {10.5061/DRYAD.R4XGXD29N}, year = {2020}, }